I told you so....
I don't think there are that many cases in the pipeline. As per USCIS they are not seeing a high demand for visa numbers. Because of their conservative approach USCIS has not been able to utilize that many visa numbers so far. With only 4 months to go, they did not want to end up in the same situation as last year where 11000 visas went unused. My guess is that they still have more than 50% of the 140K quota remaining and thats why we are seeing such drastic movement of priority dates.
Untimely Processing and Systemic Problems with Employment-Based Green Card Applications
Although raised in the Ombudsman’s 2005 Annual Report (at pp. 9-11) and 2006 Annual Report (at pp. 13-16), significant issues remain with the timely processing of employment- and family-based petitions and applications for green cards.
1. Background
The INA establishes formulas and numerical limits for regulating immigration to the United States. U.S. employers may file a petition to hire foreign workers using Form I-140. U.S. citizens and green card holders can file petitions for certain family members using Form I-130. The filing of the petition (or of the labor certification application for employment-based petitioners) establishes a “priority date.” Priority dates determine a beneficiary’s “place in line” relative to other beneficiaries in the same category and nationality for visa allocation.
By statute, there are formulas and limits on the annual number of employment-based visas and certain family-based visas. The Department of State (DOS) allocates these visas by estimating how many immigrant visas will be available and publishes the results in a monthly “Visa Bulletin.”35 If the number of visas available in a category exceeds demand for them, the Visa Bulletin will indicate that the category is “current.” A petition in a current category filed today can be processed for a visa today. If the demand for visas exceeds what is available in a category, the Visa Bulletin will indicate a cutoff date and the issuance of visas is restricted to applicants whose priority dates are earlier than the cutoff date. Petitions with priority dates after the published date must wait until DOS advances the posted date to obtain a visa. However, cutoff dates also can “retrogress,” which occurs when the actual number of applications received exceeds the number DOS estimated would be used for the visas available.
Retrogression can have serious consequences because applicants and their families who expected to obtain green cards suddenly cannot. For those applicants awaiting visas overseas, their preparations to immigrate are derailed. Plans that depend on a green card status, such as to study, advance in a job, or obtain essential credentials, are delayed. Moreover, a retrogression can have significant business consequences for employers that require predictability in staffing.
The movement of priority dates is critical to ensure: (1) orderly processing of visa applications; and (2) that visas issued do not exceed statutory limits. Priority dates also are connected with USCIS backlogs.
When priority dates are current, foreign nationals in the United States may apply for green cards and become eligible for an EAD if the green card is not processed within 90 days. Significantly, EADs may be issued and renewed for applicants who may ultimately be deemed ineligible for the green card. Importantly, there is a dynamic connection between priority dates, workloads, and backlogs, and the downstream consequences can be significant.
For example, when employment-based visas are not used during the year they are authorized, they are lost and are not available for future use without special legislation. In FY 06, over 10,000 employment-based visas were lost, even though USCIS had an estimated 100,000 to 150,000 pending applications for employment-based green cards.36 Based on USCIS use of visa numbers as of May 2007, at present consumption rates approximately 40,000 visas will be lost in FY 07 without a dramatic increase in USCIS requests of visa numbers.37 As illustrated below, since 1994 there have been over 218,000 un-recaptured employment-based visas lost due to underutilization of the employment-based visas.
Source: http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/CISOMB_Annual%20Report_2007.pdf