Murthy@com:FACT/Speculation : Backlog Reduction may Impact Employment Priority Dates

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Backlog Reduction may Impact Employment Priority Dates
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The U.S. Department of State (DOS) Visa Bulletin for August 2004 mentioned that the priority dates in the employment-based categories could retrogress at some point in the future. One of the reasons for this is that the USCIS has embarked on a series of programs to reduce their case backlogs. Regular MurthyDotCom and MurthyBulletin readers are familiar with some of these efforts.
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Background
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One of the side effects of the faster processing efforts is that faster processing of green card cases creates an increased demand for immigrant visa numbers. Since there are a limited number of immigrant visas issued in each category each year, the increased demand causes backlogs in various categories. This has already resulted in the regression, or going backwards, of certain family-based priority dates. While the priority dates in employment-based cases remain current for all categories, increased demand could change this situation in the future. For more information on priority dates and their importance in the immigration process, see our MurthyDotCom article, Priority Dates: How do they Work? Basically, in order to complete the green card process either through consular processing or adjustment of status, there must be an immigrant visa number available. These visa numbers are allocated by DOS pursuant to annual legal limits. The tracking as to which cases have a visa number available to them, based upon the date the case was filed, is set out in a monthly DOS publication known as the Visa Bulletin, which we make available on MurthyDotCom.
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Family-Based Cases
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The cut-off dates given in the Visa Bulletin are based on estimates of the demand for visas. Since this demand is directly tied to how fast the DOL and USCIS process their respective portions of the green card cases, when they are faster, the demand increases. Certain family-based categories have already experienced retrogression in the cut-off date. This increased demand is expected to cause the forward movement of the family-based cut-off dates in other categories to either slow or stop.
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Employment-Based Cases
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Employment-based (EB) cases may also feel the impact of the increased demand in the future. The Visa Bulletin for August 2004 indicates that it may become necessary to establish cut-off dates in employment-based categories at some point in the future based on demand for visa numbers. The DOS, however, states that it is not known if or when this will happen in Fiscal Year (FY) 2005, which begins on October 1, 2004. If cut-off dates are established for affected cases, it would have an impact on both the ability to file the final portion of the green card case, as well as the ability to complete the case. That is, in the example of an adjustment of status, it is not possible to file an adjustment of status case unless the priority date is current. Once the adjustment of status is filed, if the cut-off dates retrogress, it is not possible to obtain permanent residence until the visa number becomes available. However, if the I-485 is filed when the numbers retrogress, the applicant has historically been able to remain in the U.S. and obtain an Employment Authorization Document (EAD) and Advance Parole (AP) extensions, if otherwise qualified. Also, it would likely help to have a case filed under the EB Second Preference (EB2) category, since the backlogs could increase in the EB Third Preference (EB3) category.
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Conclusion
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At this point, the issue as it relates to employment priority dates is speculative and based on a future estimate if cases are processed faster. The priority dates remain current in all categories. Moreover, even if cut-off dates are established at some point during FY2005 or thereafter, it may not be for all categories. This information therefore is not cause for any urgent concern. It is an issue of which to be aware for the future and to consider when deciding whether to proceed with filing a green card case now or wait for some later event. It may be better to file sooner to establish the earliest possible priority date in case the issue of obtaining an earlier priority date becomes important once again.
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This is a mess.
I thought issuing an A# is availability of visa number. I also thought that the A# also depicts the order in which the applications have been filed.
 
Ok, how will it affect who have already applied for their GC in EB category and they have got their LIN#.

I am asking this because, I have filed my 140 in Sep, 2003 and 485 in Nov 2003.
How will it affect me.

--A layman.
 
peace_of_mind said:
This is a mess.
I thought issuing an A# is availability of visa number. I also thought that the A# also depicts the order in which the applications have been filed.

Actually A# is your person ID with the INS. You get one even when you apply for an EAD as a student. The LIN# for the 485 would be a more logical tracker of the order in which an application was filed. Of course, the INS have their own "order" of approval which depends on the phase of the moon, the mood of the adjudicator, and how badly disorganized the documents were on the floor of a certain building in Lincoln, NE.
 
I am not understanding anything man. Can someone please help me.What do they mean by priority dates will retrogess? I have filed my 485 in july-04 . so my case is stalled or what?
 
No your case is fine. All EB, GC catagories are current.This was posted just for info sake as to what may happen in the future of GC processing.
 
Previous to year 2001, all EB category applicants get their I-140 approved and wait to submit I-485 applications, until INS annouces the priority date being current. The priority date is the date one has submitted their LC application in the state or I-140 application date for EB1. This wait could be anywhere between 6 months to 12 months or more after I-140 approval. The priority date becoming current implies.., the visa number becoming available.
What is visa number availability?
Every year there is a quota of GC be given for EB cases, if the qouta exceed, I-485 cannot be approved. Instead of keeping the applications on the shelves of INS, applicants used to wait before applying for I-485.

90% individuals who enters into US with a work visa would apply for GC, then why should the work visa quota be much much higher than GC quota!!!???
 
the quota is also based on your nationality. it used to be that Indian and Chinese had to wait till their status is current. Nobody can tell what is going to happen next year until the state department issues the visa bullitin. altough in past 3-4 years visa numbers have been available for all nations.

good luck
 
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