munnu77705
Registered Users (C)
I know we all r busy in lobbying for the new bill...still our new visa bulletin is 5 days away...
anybody wnt to comment?
anybody wnt to comment?
May Visa Dates
- Thread starter munnu77705
- Start date
Dallas03096
Registered Users (C)
Hoping for more realistic visa dates
With the bispecialization, I hope USCIS has a better idea of number of pending cases from the year 2001
Hoping to see more realistic visa dates in May bulletin
With the bispecialization, I hope USCIS has a better idea of number of pending cases from the year 2001
Hoping to see more realistic visa dates in May bulletin
munnu77705
Registered Users (C)
Dallas03096 said:With the bispecialization, I hope USCIS has a better idea of number of pending cases from the year 2001
Hoping to see more realistic visa dates in May bulletin
if its true..lets hope..they get it right this time
NYImmigrant
Registered Users (C)
Are there a lot of EB3 India approvals lately ? I am not sure...
If there are, then It anyone's guess. I feel it would be 1 April 2001 but wouldn't be surprised if they screw us and move it weeks/days.
If there aren't many approvals, dates should cross April and come closer to world wide.
Then again, very little chance world wide would be stuck at 1 May 2001... BUT you never know.
If there are, then It anyone's guess. I feel it would be 1 April 2001 but wouldn't be surprised if they screw us and move it weeks/days.
If there aren't many approvals, dates should cross April and come closer to world wide.
Then again, very little chance world wide would be stuck at 1 May 2001... BUT you never know.
Being realistic ..
Guys and Gals,
By now we should all know that the DOS and USCIS has no clue about the number of pending cases (especially under EB3). Although the bi-specialization of the service centers will help them in this regard in the long term I do not see much changing in the near term (2-4 months).
I hate being pessimistic but I am becoming more and more convinced that dates for EB3 India and Rest of the World will not change much this fiscal year. They may inch towards May-July 01 by Oct 06. Maybe there will be some relief beyond Oct 06 for 01 and 02 filers.
The only way out is an immigration bill that adds visa numbers. Without the extra visa numbers we can sit here and keep making these predictions for years on end.
regards,
saras76
Guys and Gals,
By now we should all know that the DOS and USCIS has no clue about the number of pending cases (especially under EB3). Although the bi-specialization of the service centers will help them in this regard in the long term I do not see much changing in the near term (2-4 months).
I hate being pessimistic but I am becoming more and more convinced that dates for EB3 India and Rest of the World will not change much this fiscal year. They may inch towards May-July 01 by Oct 06. Maybe there will be some relief beyond Oct 06 for 01 and 02 filers.
The only way out is an immigration bill that adds visa numbers. Without the extra visa numbers we can sit here and keep making these predictions for years on end.
regards,
saras76
texancanadian
Registered Users (C)
EB3 INDIA
Worst Case Scenario: Stuck at Feb 2001
Avg Case Scenario: Move to March or April 2001
Best Case Scenario: May 2001
I doubt EB3 World will move at all.
Worst Case Scenario: Stuck at Feb 2001
Avg Case Scenario: Move to March or April 2001
Best Case Scenario: May 2001
I doubt EB3 World will move at all.
Grandhipal
Registered Users (C)
What happens to the EB3 2006 quota?
It sounds reasonable that EB3 dates move forward really really slow if at all there is any. But I don't hear of many approvals in EB3 in the recent past (since Retrogression started) either. What happens to the EB3 quota for 2006? Most of it goes unused? Does it automatically roll into fiscal year 2007 as per current regulations?
I tend to think Retrogression is caused because there are not enough visas (in a given category) and there is a huge pool of people waiting. But if visas go unused doesn't that aggravate the current situation? Am I missing something?
It sounds reasonable that EB3 dates move forward really really slow if at all there is any. But I don't hear of many approvals in EB3 in the recent past (since Retrogression started) either. What happens to the EB3 quota for 2006? Most of it goes unused? Does it automatically roll into fiscal year 2007 as per current regulations?
I tend to think Retrogression is caused because there are not enough visas (in a given category) and there is a huge pool of people waiting. But if visas go unused doesn't that aggravate the current situation? Am I missing something?
texancanadian
Registered Users (C)
Yes you are right. Dept of State is basing the backlog on anticipated need (not actual need). I feel that since last year they gave Green Cards to people with PD of 2002 /2003 they may get burnt for not following a FIFO order.
Unortunately I think the worst culprit is the DOL-BEC's they are not tackling LC's in FIFO as promised. RIR cases from 2002/2003 are approved whereas regular cases from 2000 is still pending. If BEC's followed true problem I think we would have a btter idea o where things stand.
Unortunately I think the worst culprit is the DOL-BEC's they are not tackling LC's in FIFO as promised. RIR cases from 2002/2003 are approved whereas regular cases from 2000 is still pending. If BEC's followed true problem I think we would have a btter idea o where things stand.
Visas get wasted ...
Grandhipa,
Any sane orgnization would operate a system in the way you have described. In such a case, all unused visa numbers would move to the next fiscal year automatically. However, USCIS and DOS are totally insane. Visas that are not used during a fiscal year get WASTED. This happens for several years and then one fine day Congress decides to pass legislation to "RECAPTURE" unused (read WASTED) visa numbers from previous years and adds them to the current year. Not sure why they just can't have the unused visas automatically move to the next year. There is no logic at work here.
As for this retrogression, I agree with most of what texascandian has said. The only thing I disagree with is the number of 2000-2001 NON-245i EB3 cases that are pending in the BECs. I believe very few 2000-2001 NON-245i are stuck in BECs. The only ones that are stuck are 245is from 2001 and then thousands of regular EB3s from 2002 onwards. This retrogression is based purely on speculation and fear of 245i cases flooding the system. This has not happened to date but the DOS and USCIS are in no mood to take any risks. They are waiting on the BECs to approve thousands of 245i 2001 PDs while the BECs are approving cases in a totally random manner. So nothing is being achieved and people like us are getting screwed.
The creation of the BECs has caused so much chaos that most people who are stuck there have now opted for PERM. This has lead to multiple labor applications that are inflating the projected number of pending cases.
As you can see this is a total mess and there is no easy solution.
regards,
saras76
Grandhipal said:
Grandhipa,
Any sane orgnization would operate a system in the way you have described. In such a case, all unused visa numbers would move to the next fiscal year automatically. However, USCIS and DOS are totally insane. Visas that are not used during a fiscal year get WASTED. This happens for several years and then one fine day Congress decides to pass legislation to "RECAPTURE" unused (read WASTED) visa numbers from previous years and adds them to the current year. Not sure why they just can't have the unused visas automatically move to the next year. There is no logic at work here.
As for this retrogression, I agree with most of what texascandian has said. The only thing I disagree with is the number of 2000-2001 NON-245i EB3 cases that are pending in the BECs. I believe very few 2000-2001 NON-245i are stuck in BECs. The only ones that are stuck are 245is from 2001 and then thousands of regular EB3s from 2002 onwards. This retrogression is based purely on speculation and fear of 245i cases flooding the system. This has not happened to date but the DOS and USCIS are in no mood to take any risks. They are waiting on the BECs to approve thousands of 245i 2001 PDs while the BECs are approving cases in a totally random manner. So nothing is being achieved and people like us are getting screwed.
The creation of the BECs has caused so much chaos that most people who are stuck there have now opted for PERM. This has lead to multiple labor applications that are inflating the projected number of pending cases.
As you can see this is a total mess and there is no easy solution.
regards,
saras76
Last edited by a moderator:
USCIS_GC_APPRO
Registered Users (C)
Because they are USCIS
saras76 said:
texancanadian
Registered Users (C)
Saras,
Regardless of wether they are 245 (i) or not, an EB3 case is ultiomately an EB3 case and eats into the same share of visas.
Why is DOL-BEC not tackling 245 (I) cases. They should go ahead and do them first without doing anything else. I am in no was 245 (i) but if these 245(i) folks get tackled at least we will have good idea of whats out there and how many years it might take to get USGC. We can then have more info to make individual decisions.
As lots of folks are sying many 245 (i) cases may not be genuine and were filed for sake of filing. So then DOL should deny them, but they must act on them. I have no idea why DOL is not acting. I was told by a lawyer nearl;y 1 yr back (before my own labor came through) that BEC's has not even developed a plan or system for cases in which recruitment wasnt already completed.
Until and unless 245(i) cases are tackled and either approved or disposed neither us nor Dept of state nor USCIS will have a clue of what exactly we are dealing with.
Regardless of wether they are 245 (i) or not, an EB3 case is ultiomately an EB3 case and eats into the same share of visas.
Why is DOL-BEC not tackling 245 (I) cases. They should go ahead and do them first without doing anything else. I am in no was 245 (i) but if these 245(i) folks get tackled at least we will have good idea of whats out there and how many years it might take to get USGC. We can then have more info to make individual decisions.
As lots of folks are sying many 245 (i) cases may not be genuine and were filed for sake of filing. So then DOL should deny them, but they must act on them. I have no idea why DOL is not acting. I was told by a lawyer nearl;y 1 yr back (before my own labor came through) that BEC's has not even developed a plan or system for cases in which recruitment wasnt already completed.
Until and unless 245(i) cases are tackled and either approved or disposed neither us nor Dept of state nor USCIS will have a clue of what exactly we are dealing with.
saras76 said: