Humans are not goods and services. I think you should not just apply protectionism theories like that way. I strongly believe that immigration is an important factor for the US or any country that needs to remain competitive. Immigration brings competition and that is a must. Shutting down or reducing immigration levels drastically would make the US downgraded in few years to a country more like another Germany or France, in my opinion. I think the million dollar question is, what is the optimal number of immigrants that should be allowed yearly ? 300K, 500K or 800K ? I am not sure.
Saying that you will just open the gates of India, China and Latin America so that people could come here as freely as cars can be imported from Japan is simply irresponsible. There are factors such as culture, population growth and middle class interests that would simply be in jeopardy if your recommendation is followed. The other day the "CIO" magazine just published an article about China. It is expected that China will become a more attractive offshoring meca for IT services than India very soon. Just imagine you can pay on average $13,000 for a manager with 5-8 year experience in China. Yes, there are some difficulties that needs to be overcome, such as language barriers and other things to make offshoring there more attractive. That can be improved in very few years, especially because the Chinese government is investing in English training there. Now let's be sincere and realistic:do you really think major US software companies will resist the temptation to offshore more and more services ? I agree, saying 'no' to H1B would accelerate the pace of offshoring. I don't think it will put a stop to it or reduce it in the mid to long-term. No, that seems inevitable. Now think about this:if Americans allow an unlimited number of foreigners to come, the foreigners may take over key jobs here that are not vulnerable to offshoring. IT jobs in the public sector, hospitals, US agencies, or consultancy in the private sector will be more and more attractive since those are not easily shipped overseas. Americans dont have H1B's to go to India you know. Therefore the qualified Americans and Lou Dobbs probably could be considering that perspective ? I think so. As VoIP is rolled-out and facilities improved in the third overpopulated countries such as China and India, the private companies will send everything they can to those countries and keep upper management here. That is my opinion. That is said, honestly I think Lou Dobbs is doing his job and defending his point of view. Remember, India, China, some countries in Latin America are overpopulated and in my opinion that is nothing to be proud of. The middle classes in those countries are typically weak and poor. Yes, some of them managed to produce lawyers on every corner, others managed to graduate engineers. Americans or any professional in the world must be prepared to face competition in this globalized world. Facing unfair competition from overpopulated countries is not right, and that is the reason why Americans might want to impose more manageable numbers for immigration. What is "unfair competition" ? It is letting overpopulated countries and its respective vast of supply of labor have *unlimited* ability to take over positions in a foreign country. China, India and many Latin America countries have a history of corruption, mismanagement and exploitation of middle class, what caused wages there to be way below than the standards in the US. It would be very naive from Americans to engage in professional competition against people that doesn't play by the same rules, and that's why quotas are in place.
I think you see Americans in alert for that reason. Just my humble opinion. I will continue my fight to allow an increase in visa numbers, but I will never be unfair to the point of dreaming unlimited or excessive number of immigrants to come.
For the US to survive in this globalization and information age, perhaps the long-term solution will be by working to increase the standard of living in India, China, etc. Interesting times.
GMC92 said:
Being an economist, it's unfathomable to think he supports protectionism. All protectionist economies failed miserably and history is the proof. Globalisation and capitalism are basic tenents and form the lifeline of this country. It is beyond any forces, now to stop globalisation and international competetiveness.
I work as a physician in an underserved area and still there is more need for physicians. The firm is trying to recruit another physician from nearly 4 years without success.(Yes, no American physician would move here) It may be my own obligation that I am working here but the community is incredibly grateful that Iam here.
Lou Dobbs is doing grave injustice to lot of needy people if he instigates Americans against legal immigration.
GMC92