For EAC-02-091-5XXXX Guys

magesh_kk

Registered Users (C)
Guys a Small Theory :

As we all know that the lastest approval was for EAC-02-059 series. I pulled out 100 EAC numbers randomly for various days (like 060, 085, 073, 078, 067) and found atleast 30 I-485 applns per 100 numbers. Here is the theory

Average Application per day - 5000
Average 485 applns per day - 1500 (30% of 5000)
To reach EAC-02-091 there are 32 days
which means 1500 * 32 = 48,000 I-485 applns + 10,000 (pending cases let us assume)

So totally 58,000 (I-485) applns.

Let us assume, INS processes 500 I-485 cases per day
then, it would take 116 days to reach our case which is nearly 4 months from now.....ie. FEB/MAR 2003.....

Vow...that's too long isn't????

Hope let's get it before....

:)
 
Good work, but your calculation contradicts with the info from your friend the other day that the INS will come in full-speed after the audit.
We all know that with the INS, miracles do and do not, can and cannot happen ;)

Besides, if they do process the 091 series in Feb/Mar 2003, it will still be within the 365-540 days that they stated in the receipt notice :D
 
what are you trying to say ?

you mean no parallel processing of oct, nov, dec cases

there are few july, aug are yet to be approved, you will get approved after april 2003 according to your logic.
 
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Hello Magesh,

As per your latest approval sequence won't be true.

My RD is 10/24

EAC-02-053-xxxx

I didn't get approval. I have lot of friends with same kind of numbers. they didn't get approvals. they are from october month.

EAC-02-059 sequence number is above my number.

I think, numbers varies lots. We cann't follow numbers with EAC.

We have to ask INS...how they following approvals.

but your data is very nice.
 
Originally posted by magesh_kk
Guys a Small Theory :

As we all know that the lastest approval was for EAC-02-059 series. I pulled out 100 EAC numbers randomly for various days (like 060, 085, 073, 078, 067) and found atleast 30 I-485 applns per 100 numbers. Here is the theory

Average Application per day - 5000
Average 485 applns per day - 1500 (30% of 5000)
To reach EAC-02-091 there are 32 days
which means 1500 * 32 = 48,000 I-485 applns + 10,000 (pending cases let us assume)

So totally 58,000 (I-485) applns.

Let us assume, INS processes 500 I-485 cases per day
then, it would take 116 days to reach our case which is nearly 4 months from now.....ie. FEB/MAR 2003.....

Vow...that's too long isn't????

Hope let's get it before....

:)

Is it legally alright to check several case numbers on the INS website- I mean lots of them (other than your own) to get an idea of what dates are being approved.

The privacy notice says that INS will know who/which computer -IP address is accessing what kindo of info.

Once more reason to worry:eek:
 
A Ray of Hope

Guys there is a discrepancy in my theory which I realized today.

Out of the 58,000 (I-485) applications that I said, 50% may be dependent cases (Wife, Children etc). So we have only 29,000 applns and also in these many cases are already transferred to local INS to schedule interview... So let us assume those are 5,000 cases (29,000 - 5,000 = 24,000 cases).

So even if INS takes 500 cases to process per day. Our's should come in next 48 days. ie before December 15th or at the worst scenario before Jan'1,2003.

Processing for next batch will be surely for 2 or 3 months in parallel only....absolutely there is no doubt in that. I bet my word.

:)
 
Mr. KK

We've lost faith in you and your predictions/ calculations/ decipherations/ rationalizations/ information/. It's nice that you try and post optimistic information, but what good is it when it eventually turns out to be BS and only makes us get more frustrated for getting our hopes high.
Relax dude, we all hope your predictions come out to be true as they are in our favor, however once bitten...twice shy, so let's just wait for things to unfold rather than predict. Qe Sera Sera......
 
What about EAD renewals/AP renewals ????????

Did you consider them???????
Looks like these are your early days on the forum.....doing such things.............Such theories...........don't work.........It's THE INS........

Wake up......
 
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