• Hello Members, This forums is for DV lottery visas only. For other immigration related questions, please go to our forums home page, find the related forum and post it there.

ceac updated

Which means that so far Oceania has had a success rate of around 47% ( including holes etc), however that does translate to an 87.5% success rate for those that returned their forms and showed up to interview. Thats pretty astounding and probably not good news for the high numbers
 
britsimon said:
LOL Mijoro - you have been desperate to get this info haven't you.

If you are noting the data try and get a note of how many cases versus holes - I'm assuming the 207 is including derivatives.
Click to expand...

LOL just a little bit, I like to know how things work and thus far its been a bit of a mystery for me. I also love lists and numbers which you can probably tell. I figured cause we were so low in comparison with other countries I could have a look through the numbers.

And yes the 207 is inclusive of family members etc.
 
mijoro said:
Which means that so far Oceania has had a success rate of around 47% ( including holes etc), however that does translate to an 87.5% success rate for those that returned their forms and showed up to interview. Thats pretty astounding and probably not good news for the high numbers
Click to expand...

The 2011 OC success rate was 0.36 - so my predictions are based on that. 0.47 (if that continued) would indeed be bad news for high numbers. Loopy 2012 was 0.28. In other regions you could argue the holes increase in higher number ranges, I'm not sure that is true in OC.
 
This data:

mijoro said:
Interesting for the Oceania Region the 439 cns that I went through there are..

207 visas already issued
21 on AP
22 Rejected.

And they average around 35 interviews per month spread over Sydney, Suva Auckland, London, Abu Dhabi,
Click to expand...
 
Roselyna said:
She turned 21 in September 2013, but I had submitted our forms already.

I was hoping they would freeze her age. At least that was what I was directed to do. This will be so unfair.
I hope this is some kind of mistake. I just hope it is.
Click to expand...

They don't freeze her age but there is an allowance made in these cases under the Child Status Protection Act (CSPA). The CSPA gives a window of time when a child who has already reached 21 can be treated as a child for the DV interview. According to my calculations she would be OK with your interview date - however, it would be best to get Sm1smom to confirm that - and she will probably know how you should handle the interview also. One thing - your daughter must be unmarried - so no last minute weddings!
 
OC01 - 100 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 39 visas issued 4 on AP and 4 rejected
OC101 -200 = 35 Interviews, 65 holes, 50 visas issued, 7 on AP, 3 rejected
OC201 - 300 = 30 Interviews, 70 holes, 47 visas issued, 6 on AP, 7 rejected
OC301 - 400 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 50 visas issued, 4 on AP, 5 rejected
OC401 - 438 = 38 Interviews, 21 visas issued,3 on AP, 3 rejected
 
so brute force was it.. and I was hoping for someone to come up with statistics for Europe.
 
mijoro said:
OC01 - 100 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 39 visas issued 4 on AP and 4 rejected
OC101 -200 = 35 Interviews, 65 holes, 50 visas issued, 7 on AP, 3 rejected
OC201 - 300 = 30 Interviews, 70 holes, 47 visas issued, 6 on AP, 7 rejected
OC301 - 400 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 50 visas issued, 4 on AP, 5 rejected
OC401 - 438 = 38 Interviews, 21 visas issued,3 on AP, 3 rejected
Click to expand...

OK, just be aware that if someone had not yet returned their forms they would appear to be a hole for now, so there is a chance that some of those holes will become visas later....

Fascinating numbers though.
 
Good Luck with that, I am sure someone will write a program that can grab all of the data.
 
mijoro said:
OC01 - 100 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 39 visas issued 4 on AP and 4 rejected
OC101 -200 = 35 Interviews, 65 holes, 50 visas issued, 7 on AP, 3 rejected
OC201 - 300 = 30 Interviews, 70 holes, 47 visas issued, 6 on AP, 7 rejected
OC301 - 400 = 34 Interviews, 66 holes, 50 visas issued, 4 on AP, 5 rejected
OC401 - 438 = 38 Interviews, 21 visas issued,3 on AP, 3 rejected
Click to expand...

holes are more than half in my own checking as well lol i love holes hahaha
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top