CEAC DATA UP TO 07-03-2014

[rafikbo76]

Hi,

Here is the link of the updated data :
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gXQxNj7q7uYuFS9wtxyDM5wCvlUbiUkmzC5W1JG5Phg/edit?pli=1#gid=1133734000

The file includes new Columns : ISSUED, REFUSED, AP, READY and TRANSFER. That's because when case status is ISSUED, derrivative can be refused, ready or somthing else.

Totals are calculated this way :

• When the case is ISSUED, only ISSUED column is considered.
• When the case is REFUSED, All family members should be the same (it s not the case in CEAC Website) + Refused derrivative from ISSUED,
• When the case is AP, all family members are considered + AP derrivative from ISSUED cases.
  
• When the case is READY or TRANSFER, all family members are considered + derrivative in the same state from ISSUED cases.

Hope, By miracle, the next VB will be mine, Otherwise i don't know if i could do it again.

 

[Slikk]

Rafik thanks you rock , btw can you recheck link..

 

[GregGalant]

I cant see any link

 

[rafikbo76]

The forum embedded google doc features sucks, I can't post the link only, it will try to embed the doc witch is very big, just copy/past in ur browser

 

[Slikk]

Just shorten it with some url cutter

 

[rafikbo76]

Just shorten it with some url cutter

u mean URL still try to embed the file

 

[rafikbo76]

Just shorten it with some url cutter

OK thanks

 

[franko]

Cheers for the data Dude! It's quite strange to see my number there after 13 months of waiting

Let's hope you get current in Sept !!!

 

[GregGalant]

So guys what are your prediction for sep vb - including this ceac

 

[vladek15425]

Thanks rafik, you got my entire admiration.
Just want to point out something; if the principal is put on AP than all derivatives will be yes.
But there is few cases where the principal is granted the visa but a derivative is put on AP I've seen 2 days a go an iranian case so...
Thanks again rafik, I wish you an interview will all my heart. Cheers

 

[GregGalant]

what u think about EU ?

 

[rafikbo76]

Cheers for the data Dude! It's quite strange to see my number there after 13 months of waiting

Let's hope you get current in Sept !!!

It s looking beautiful, I think, betther than in the First NL

 

[rafikbo76]

Thanks rafik, you got my entire admiration.
Just want to point out something; if the principal is put on AP than all derivatives will be yes.
But there is few cases where the principal is granted the visa but a derivative is put on AP I've seen 2 days a go an iranian case so...
Thanks again rafik, I wish you an interview will all my heart. Cheers

Yeah, I know, that's why I explained how I did the SUM, to get better idea from you guys, because as you know some cases are not updated correctly

 

[vladek15425]

Yeah, I know, that's why I explained how I did the SUM, to get better idea from you guys, because as you know some cases are not updated correctly

All right buddy
I will check it out tonight than

 

[guestgulkan]

The OC CN cutoff for June was 1185. Yet I can see 5 visas were issued for CNs higher than this? How is this possible? They are all in Auckland New Zealand.

 

[franko]

Check when the data was updated in CEAC. It is the same in EU. Few people had their interviews in Tirana and Warsaw on 1st, 2nd and 3rd of July and their data is already in CEAC. I think in Australia you have interviews on certain days of the week ?? In Auckland they probably interview people 5 days a week.

 

[vladek15425]

Check when the data was updated in CEAC. It is the same in EU. Few people had their interviews in Tirana and Warsaw on 1st, 2nd and 3rd of July and their data is already in CEAC. I think in Australia you have interviews on certain days of the week ?? In Auckland they probably interview people 5 days a week.

Franky I can only acces the data on pc because my cell just sucks lol
So please post in here the racapitulative board of all regions, up to 07-03-2014?
Thanks

 

[franko]

Here you go:



2014 03/07/2014
REGION Max CN Total CN Including Family ISSUED REFUSED AP READY+TRANS
AF 69277 17291 32498 14351 4375 2705 11138
EU 40145 10704 23742 14392 1227 1613 6587
AS 12690 5785 11341 5500 345 2165 3440
SA 1748 663 1709 1023 134 97 456
OC 1448 576 1037 486 105 48 400
NA 13 1 2 2 0 0 0

 

[franko]

 

[guestgulkan]

My dodgy OC analysis

The number of CP visas issued this year will be the same as 2013. 2013 total visas issued via CP was 624 so this will be the target.
2014 issued so far (end of june): 484
Remaining visas: 140

Using two months to estimate ratios since 85 CNs is small.
April cutoff was 900
June cutoff was 1185
Difference: 285 CNs processed in two months

May and June: 105 visas issued, +3.5 AP = 109 (108.5) visas issued

Visas issued / Case difference for May & June: 0.38245614 visas per case number
Case numbers to fill visa target: 366.0550459 + 1185
Max case number : 1551.055046

OC Final CN cutoff will be: 1550-1600

Hope I'm wrong!

Assumptions:
May & June ratios will hold for the remainder of DV
Half of June AP will be issued, other half refused: +3.5 visas
Assume earlier AP will remain AP
Ignoring visas issued early