May be. But i could draw some similarities, after my AP2 AND EAD2 was approved within a week they sent me notice for FP2, but then my FP1 got expired on July-2004.
But there are few users in the forum who have done ap/ead renewal thrice, but couldn't get their 485 file on motion, some super lucky ones especially mid-late 2003 filers got 485 approved with only 1 ead and AP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!