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Hi, When you enter the US for the first time with your Green Card in your passport, it will be stamped and will serve as a green card for 1 year. You will receive the plastic card by mail within few weeks but you do not need to wait for it to start working. You should receive the SSN...

Num3er5... First, thanks raevsky for your comments, i always learn something new from your posts :) Few words on what I was trying to do. First: I wanted to pass the time while waiting for my turn... Second, since my CN is rather high, I want to know where I stand. If I can figure out...

No to both. I want to know if all Iranians that do not do AOS and are not living outside of Iran and have case number between 3400 and 4950 (the range I checked), have their interview in Ankara. This is assumption number 3 ...

I want to know how many potential visas are there in a given case number range. I have real data for Iranians. I can estimate how many interviews Iranians have and from there how many interviews in Asia. From the number of interviews I can estimate the number of potential visas in that case...

... and now for the good news... In a conference on 28 September 2010 announcing DV12 , Mr WILCOCK said: But we don’t have people show up and interview and pay for the application only to be – and then tell them that they can’t go because we’ve run out visas. We don’t do it that way...

Hi All, I'm trying to estimate the number of visas within a given range of case numbers. The data below is based on the Ankara numbers and is good for AS I'll start with the bottom line... Depending on how many Iranians are doing AOS (3-6%) or are resident outside of Iran (2-15%) and...

The inflated case numbers in Asia in the last several DVs can be contributed to Bangladesh, no doubt. Yet the low number of winners can be related to the fact that the total number if immigrants from there came close to 50K in the last 5 years (see Immigrant Visas Issued by Foreign State...

Thanks, this is an amazing information! Yet, one can think of a valid situation where the % of notified winners is less than or higher than 60%. The figure in this link illustrates a situation where the number of notified winners is, say 30%. In fact, one can draw a diagram that shows...

Hi raevsky, Can you please provide more information about where the number 61K came from? Is there any official source that mentions it? how did you come up with it? Tnanks!

No. The quote is from the message given to those selected when they check their status. The message also appeared, with a bit different wording, in other official sites DV12 was the first in which notification letter was not sent. In previous years they simply sent a letter. In DV12 and up...

Hi aos13 raevsky posted here a very interesting link to a document called "Fraud Risks Complicate State's Ability to Manage Diversity Visa Program" published by GAO To summarize the 50 pages (and leaving aside the catfight between "State" and "GAO" :) ) The document describes the...

Hi raevsky, Is this based on official publication? in the conference of October 1st 12 MS. Thurmond said about a 'second draw' that "...it is a practice we’ve done in the past, but this is the first time that people have to check back in to find out if they were selected as part of the...

The Case Of The Case Number Hi raevsky, thanks for the useful information! Some of my thoughts First, about Mr Amin testimony. To put in a nut shell, Amin defends the decision to nullify the first draw of DV12 and explain why it was not random as the regulations dictate. The...

People checked on May 1st, saw that they were not selected but probably missed the email from KCC that instructed participants to recheck on the 15th. They got selected but did not know about it The drop: Region 2011 2012 % Africa 24,015 13,582 -43% Asia...

Hi, I find the cutoffs for April very encouraging - the advance rate seems exponential (link) for the 3 regions

Numbers numbers numbers.... Hi kavisiromani I think the AOS percentage worldwide is about 3-3.5%. There are two official publications that report the number of DV visas given each year: One is titled "Immigrant Number Use for Visa Issuances and Adjustments of Status in the Diversity...

OK I concur, So [Figure 1-A] if you receive a GC anytime during the year you are a resident alien for US tax purposes, but see notes (1) & (2) (1) if this is your first or last year of residency, you may have a dual status for the year. See Dual-status Aliens in Chapter 1 (2) In some...

Read carefully: You are Nonresident unless you meet one of the two tests : green card test or the substantial presence test. You meet the green card test so you are not Nonresident for the year. You are Resident Aliens and Note 2 applies to you. You would need to look at the income tax...

Its easy like one two three! (four five six seven....) Dual-Status Aliens : (if you are) a nonresident alien and a resident alien during the same tax year. Nonresident Aliens : If you are an alien (not a U.S. citizen), you are considered a nonresident alien unless you meet one...

Ankara Calling While waiting my turn (which is not expected before way into summer), I pass the time contemplating the interviews progress from the US embassy in Ankara site The site was last updated on January 31st. The progress graph shows a gap of about 240 in March: last case number...