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@Britsimon Well its not so easy to calculate not for me, we still have too many unknowns. I said earlier Ready status is nasty variable thats why we need new CEAC.But for EU lower density at high stage is very positive sign,in last 15000(40-55k) we could have only 2k-3k visas issued...so...

Well who knows did they actually informed all high cases(or some remain hidden), it is still very strange to me that they first released letter with 125k and then increased to 140k.

IMO 19500-20000

Thanks Sloner you did a really good job with density chart you gave us in June :).I tried some queries for EU and got only 13CN(25 winners) in high ranges for intervals of 100 numbers after 39000.We could still expect some additional winners, due to batch updates(not so important percent...

I think its possible for EU to become current, and if EU gets some more visas ~20000 according to my calculations even higher 5xk CNs will get interview.It is based on dying CNs(stuck Ready state) and lower density in higher ranges.This is my personal opinion :)

@one Yeah a more skilled to help with some stuff you are right.There are simply too many variables and its hard to predict next VB, so no "pros" in this category! Guys with high CNs just stay positive, we'll see whats happens :)

Great comment Sm1smom :), for me "pros" sounds really funny almost as "prediction" for DV progress :D We should put some bets just to be more interesting..

I compared some data for AF till 25k and EU till 20k for lower CNs and it seems that almost 60% of "Ready" remain in "Ready" status, which is good for high CNs.Still I dont know how this will be changed in June till 10. July, and how will KCC handle it ...

Ah ok I see.I am more interested in jul and july Issued progress, and ready status change of lower CN-s.Thanks for the heads up :).

Hey Rafikbo is there any chance for some earlier update on CEAC, it would be very useful to see progress in the last ten days and make some comments...I tried to ping Dalius but it looks like he's on vacation.Thanks

Aggresive pls hah ok attack is best form of defence :), I was just looking for good debate...But np,bye.

Please, now you're starting to insult basic intelligence. I respect you but I do not have time to argue all night unless you have a valid arguments.About what couriers you are talking about in the 21st century, do you think that everything is sent by mail...And what slots wasting, scheduling is...

Yes I must admit I see difference between "C" and "CURRENT" - as mark in table :)

Hah come on man... On the chart below, the listing of a date for any class indicates that the class is oversubscribed (see paragraph 1); "C" means current, i.e., numbers are available for all qualified applicants; This is for other visa types :)

Ohh ok I didn't mean to misinterpret you. For ME glass analogy isnt perfect and you know why because KCC has enough time to deal with the rest of the winners, and with glass your done in a sec.Medical is set after interview date change, you know the process you cant do it before status change...

Wow you almost got me :D.But no... First of all let me quote Susie from one post on visajourney, and thats correct statement"current means they think they have visas for everyone.." so think is quite unstable term isn't it. About spending money on medical etc...Who guarantees you for any visa...

Hmm interesting but honestly I doubt in (CEAC errors) on long term period.Simple because this is important data, we could see some wrong data in transition but not on long run.If you can prove with exact match I am willing to accept. I agree on second part with you except possibility for...

Well ok if they want to play safe without regret whats the different in cut off vs current in september.Anyway some percent of winners will be dissapointed, from my point of view current is less evil at least in a way that everyone see a possible chance, and ensure KCC more issued visas..

This is not based on understanding this is a fact :) . If you calculate all Issued visas and Ready with AP its > 54000.So according to this it's a game over dude, but its not :). So we are missing some step in this game and thats the number of dead Ready cases( with different causes) and lower...

@Britsimon You mean overstated as a number or what?Actually what bothers me is whats happening in CEAC data with specific Ready cases, to be more precise if carriers do not respond within the scheduled time of interview.Are they still in the game or are deleted?And because of this variable I am...