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Nice - just shows how fast AOS can be sometimes.

FYI to all and to note the timeline. The Algerian embassy has now started cancelling interviews because they have hit the 7% country cap of 3850 visas.

Rejections are for failing to follow the instructions (such as not including spouse/children on the initial entry) or for not meeting the requirements in education (or work experience as an alternative ). Other reasons are less common. Background checking can, in some cases, put a case at...

Visas won't run out in August. September is where the crunchtime will hit - and either they exceed the cap or cancel appointments and/or refuse to allocate visas to 221g

As Mom has already said, there is no possible way that the quota for OC has increased in a way to justify the 77% increase in selectees. The quotas are calculated based on a formula that we know. We have the data and have models of the formula. It hasn't changed. They may have assumed that Fiji...

Thanks, this is helpful. My intent was to see if there was any reason to think the huge percentage of OC applicants would behave differently to other selectees thereby affecting the math for case to issuance numbers. From what you say, it seems I should not expect that.

The passport requirement was only in force for a couple of entry periods, so we can see it didn't cause a reduction when it was introduced, and therefor shouldn't be the reason when it was blocked.

Interesting. I wonder who is paying for the promotion, or what the motivation is. It's lasted two years.

I have been mulling over the massive increase in selectees in OC region. The odd thing that stands out is the massive increase in selectees from Fiji, and I'm wondering what happened to cause that. Up until DV2023, Fiji tended to get around the same (or less) of the selected numbers as...

12XX is clearly safe.

Sooo.... the government screwed OC region by increasing selectees by 77% - far more than any other region (AF12%, AS 15%, EU 25% and SA 55%) This makes no sense at all, and will CERTAINLY lead to cutoffs before high case numbers are reached. We don't know for sure what the "highest" case...

I don't mean to scare, just inform.

You're asking some questions for which we don't have answers. I don't understand why they are having a hard time sticking to the cap and making things more transparent. I have a FOIA request in on this exact topic - but by the time I know more DV2023 will be over. Regarding your last...

To address the outrageous or impossible comment. I should probably have made things more clear. We know that AOS cases rely on the assignment of a visa from the IVAMS system, and that only happens during or after the IO has approved the case (i.e. interview or the point at which the interview...

Yes I have seen it before. They can stand by the issuance if that happens. But really you guys need to move heaven and earth to get interviewed as soon as possible - things are gonna get messy in September.

Sadly you are not likely to get an interview. From the beginning of the year NRB set their capacity at a level far below what was needed to keep up with the workload they had. That meant a large backlog was built up, and they were several months behind in their work. Even at this point they...

Awesome. What date in September? If it is late September, I would contact them and see if they would move it earlier.

No.

Good to see you too. I note your career just goes from strength to strength - good on ya! Hope all is well!

19 OC 2nls sent this morning - I'm expecting Auckland is in there - can someone confirm?