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  1. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    SA is different I have to recalculate SA, but what I see here right now is that changes in SA were possible. Guatemala was added, and quota was increased. For the sake of AS and NA regions (high admission regions).
  2. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    So, when we see a forum post that all interviews in Mardid were cancelled since Sept. 17, 2004, and we know that some other interviews in other countries were not cancelled (in Israel), that means that was not world quota.
  3. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Those quotas were not published.
  4. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Sept. 17th in Spain. Some interview in Israel were not cancelled even later, hat means that the interviews cancelled in Spain were because of regional or country quota. The only country quota in DV-2004 that could have been exhausted was Ethiopian quota, not Spanish one.
  5. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    About 17900 quota for EU inDV-14 (based on almost all 55000 numbers filled for the world). 3485 refusals for AF so far.
  6. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    I have evidence that in DV-2000 world quota was exhausted by Sept. 22 and some people who were interviewed before, were not able to get visas because of that.
  7. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    In DV-1 EU quota was 24549, but there were only 24289 visas issued. The unused visas were distributed between other regions in September.
  8. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    So far we have 4600 APs in Africa. That is a very significant number to be ignored.
  9. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    In DV-1 some regions became unavailable long before September, in March and in May. I am pretty sure some interviews were cancelled as well, as soon as the quotas exhausted.
  10. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    They also ran with the same pace in DV-13. 10000 by 6/1 each. So that is historical. And the reason is much more late submitters in AF than in EU. More cultural procrastinators. I think hat I a cultural difference. Life is more slow in undeveloped countries. Regarding the full month length, it...
  11. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    There s not such thing as high load. DV interviews are a small portion of all interviews at a consulate. They could reschedule other cases to process DV by September.
  12. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Not easy because of unknown refusal rates for AP cases. There still are a lot of AP cases.
  13. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    We also have simultaneous increase in both regions for the number of visas issued compared to DV-13. About 13000 instead of 10000 for 6/3, for either region. That is much more than 7% increase caused by releasing 4K of NACARA quota. That makes me think that quotas are filled earlier in both...
  14. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    We are here talking about EU, Iran is not a part of EU
  15. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Me kidding? We have 6/3/2014 CEAC results. Out of 2571 visas issued in May in the whole EU 579 were under April cutoff. That is still more than 22.5%
  16. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    However, we know for sure that the sum of quotas for all regions together is 55000 or less. One of the consequences is that we cannot even consider a possibility that all regions together increased their quotas above 55000. Increasing EU quota would definitely mean decreasing AF quota. However...
  17. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Most of them are not rescheduled interviews. We have full history of Warsaw interviews, and the story is similar thee. There you cannot claim most of them are rescheduled, because we have full history.
  18. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    Does it change anything? Count only those that are scheduled for July or August. There are 99 those. And 46 of them are below May cutoff.
  19. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    So, you are afraid to make a bet?! I tough so. Ankara EU cases are here - http://www.usemb-ankara.org.tr/consular/english/schedule_dv.html , totally 107 of them 495 DV 7/2/ 8:50:00 AM 982 DV 7/1/ 9:00:00 AM 1248 DV 7/1/ 9:00:00 AM 2553 DV 7/2/ 8:50:00 AM 3177 DV 6/30/ 8:40:00 AM 3862...
  20. R

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    I would say 40150 is also much closer to 38700 than 50% to 2%. Am I right?
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