What are the chances of RFE if AC-21 letter is not sent?

Shaf

Registered Users (C)
Is there any statistics on approximately how many people (or percentage) are getting RFEs for EVLs when they have changed jobs using AC-21 ? To clarify my question, is a person more likely to get an RFE for EVL if he changes his job but didn't inform USCIS ? Other than the time passed between the filing date of I-485, what could generate such RFE ? Does USCIS have any mechanism to check if that person is getting paid from a different employer ? How about address change ... does that give USCIS a hint that the person may have changed jobs ?

Sorry for the large number of questions. Thoughts from Gurus and other would be appreciated!
 
Shaf said:
Is there any statistics on approximately how many people (or percentage) are getting RFEs for EVLs when they have changed jobs using AC-21 ? To clarify my question, is a person more likely to get an RFE for EVL if he changes his job but didn't inform USCIS ? Other than the time passed between the filing date of I-485, what could generate such RFE ? Does USCIS have any mechanism to check if that person is getting paid from a different employer ? How about address change ... does that give USCIS a hint that the person may have changed jobs ?

Sorry for the large number of questions. Thoughts from Gurus and other would be appreciated!
There is no statistics available.

There is no more chances of getting EVL unless you use AC-21 proactively and inform USCIS.

USCIS may get the data from other organizations but it is generally not done, unless they smell foul in your case.

Using AR-11 doesn't triggers EVL.
 
If i were to quote a number, I would say 28.76 %.... Does that help u 1 bit??
Moral of the story, dont take chances...

Shaf said:
Is there any statistics on approximately how many people (or percentage) are getting RFEs for EVLs when they have changed jobs using AC-21 ? To clarify my question, is a person more likely to get an RFE for EVL if he changes his job but didn't inform USCIS ? Other than the time passed between the filing date of I-485, what could generate such RFE ? Does USCIS have any mechanism to check if that person is getting paid from a different employer ? How about address change ... does that give USCIS a hint that the person may have changed jobs ?

Sorry for the large number of questions. Thoughts from Gurus and other would be appreciated!
 
28.76% you got RFE. 10% (my feeling) CIS is to reject AC21 on pending-180days I140s. 50% chance to win after motion to reopen. so the chance to NOT get GC is:

28.8% * 10% * 50% = 1.44 %

if you want to take one step further to file lawsuit in federal court, you may win 50%.

Thus you got 0.72% to not get green card. do you want to take the chace? :)
 
One for UnitedNations

Exactly...I agree with you...
I have been making some silent statistics on who gets EVL for 485...

I have seen a lot of people who changed jobs (AC21) but didnt inform INS got approved with no RFE..

I have also see a few who changed jobs (ac21) but informed INS got RFE for EVL...

I have also seen a few especially in my company who have never changed jobs got RFE for EVL etc...

So no pattern....or is there?

By the way ....
Do we need to inform them if we use AC21 ??

thx






unitednations said:
I haven't seen any statistics. I've seen RFE's for people who did change companies but didn't notify uscis and also RFE's for employment verification letter for people who didn't change jobs. Also, there have been many people who have changed jobs but didn't get RFE or send in ac21 notification. Basically, I haven't seen a pattern.

As to how would uscis know:

h-1b transfer
h-1b cancellation, expiry and use of EAD
change of address
Social security records - according to their web-site they can share information with other government agencies.
 
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shaf, if you mean i have too much spare time, then the answer is absolutely no. have you heard "calculated risks"?

ricko, it's up to you if you want to proactively inform cis ac21 or just wait it out.
 
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