WAC-02-040 to WAC-02-052 Analysis

Silly Man

Silly Man

Volunteer moderator
Hi Folks,

Just had been doing some analysis of WAC-02-040 to WAC 02-52 #'s from PCee's list.

Total people 59.
Assuming 12% dropouts (as happened in previous pages) Real # = 53.

Total # of approved = 7 = 13.2%
Approved (San Jose) = 3
Approved (Oakland) = 2
Approved (Sacramento) = 1
Approved (Unknown) = 1 (Coin please let us know if you can)

Deductions,
a) Can't see any LA people getting approved here. People please post your FP locations with your approvals. (Wonder if there's a trend)
b) 13.2% is too low a number to start cheering about yet. (Early WAC-02-01's are probably the same way).
c) 13.2% is too low a number to start loosing hoping about your unapproved case yet. :)
d) Hoping and Expecting to see LA people join the ranks of approved soon.
e) Assuming current approval rate (better than July), WAC-02-04* people should be cleared out mostly in 2 months time. But too many unknowns here especially considering CSC's erratic rate, random WAC# approval policy, 02-030?? etc. etc. you know it. If CSC speeds up further, which we know it can .. then 1 month, if it slows down, 4-6 months.

5:30 AM, good luck to you all for today.

- SM
 
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Looks like 've to wait 10mos to 1 year from the date of 485 filing

for the normal waiters. The 13.2% we see here are the lucky ones. I have finished 9 months of waiting(its time to deliver, baby)
 
time to deliver?

The WAC-01 people left should be expecting a baby elephant by now. LOL :D.

Actually *labor* pains started 3 years back
 
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Good call Silly

That may be true or coincide with the data we have right now. May be we can have a standard for posting their approvals with FP location. Also recomend the date of approval in the subject line.

Nice one buddy
 
All statistical analysis lacks enough data points

pointsAll statistical analysis lacks enough data points

Take a look at the INS Statistics
http://www.ins.gov/graphics/aboutins/statistics/msrjune02/BENEFIT.HTM

According to this report there were 62,751 I-485 permanent resident adjustments applicatins in June. Also thre are more than 800,000 I-485 applications pending. If we assume CSC gets 1/4 of these, then there are 15,000-20,000 applications received per month. We have less than 100 applicants per month to track, which is a very low %. So I think the statistics we come up using the data may not be accurate. Some of the things you can deduce from the INS report is that they are falling behind the curve. They are not able to manage the pending count even with less recipts.

Note:From the graph it is clear that they did't open a lot ot OCT applications because of end-of-the-year auditing. They opened a lot more in Nov though.
 
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