Be hopeful!
At this stage It may seem that these dates does not have any meaning.But folks, as June 2002 (old )Eb3 cut off could not become sep 2002 in Oct 2005,Jan 98 can not be taken as reliable for any forcasting.After few months you may find the dates will move very fast.Yes, based on Jan 98 ,you can not say when.But have patience and let Bush and co be come out of Katrina ,Iraq etc and you will see something good.What is my basis.In 99-2000 it happened .They create crisis and after sometime ,everybody will realise ,let us have a retrobacklog reduction (elimination center).