Shocking EB Visa Numbers Prediction for FY 2006 and FY 2007

puhrince

Registered Users (C)
The AILA has reported the FY 2006 and FY 2007 Employment-Based Visa Number predication based on the information from the State Department and the Labor Department. It is literally shocking.
The recapture number from prior employment-based visa numbers, which we reported in our Visa Retrogression Q&A, approximately 101,000 have been almost completely exhausted, and fewer unused family-based immigrant visas out of about 89,000 are available for employment-based cases. Accordingly, recapturable numbers are practically almost gone.
The visa numbers for FY 2006 and FY 2007 which have been provided by the State Department to the AILA are so stunning that one feels completely lost. See the following figures:
FY 2005--249,000 (attributable recapture from the EB unused numbers and spillovers from the family-based categories)
FY 2006--156,000 (actual number is estimated to be about 6,000 fewer than this figure!)
FY 2007--148,000
For the Worldwide EB-2 numbers, it predicts that it may remain current at least through December 31, 2005, and then may retrogress during the 2nd quarter of FY-2006 (January - March 2006). What's more, a cut-off date may be established during the 3rd (April - June 2006) or 4th quarter (July - September 2006).
India used 45,000 EB immigrant visas in all of the employment-based visa categories in FY 2005, but in FY 2006, the per-country limit in all EB categories will only be 10,700, and of that 10,700, the number available per-country in the EB-1, EB-2 and EB-3 categories is projected to be only 9,180 or less.
The 245(i) cases which were filed mostly before April 31, 2001 will more or less seriously affect the pace of the visa number progression. But look at the estimate of 245(i) which is pending at the DOL. The number is staggering. There are estimated to be approximately 345,000 245(i) applications with the DOL. Without doubt, some of these applications will be denied, withdrawn or abandoned, but the prediction indicates that as many as 250,000-275,000 direct beneficiaries plus additional derivative beneficiaries of their family members (average 2.5) will move into I-140 and I-485 streams in the future.
Again, as we emphasized in our Visa Retrogression Q&A, the only solution to push the Congress to pass the Immigration Reform legislation as soon as possible. You all should join in this force to lobby the Congress and refute the anti-immigration forces!
 
Silver lining in this dark cloud of EB regression

Hi,

I am pasting herewith, the breaking news I copied from the immigration-law web site. Let's hope for better news in near future.

Good luck
Higcoptimist



"10/08/2005: EB-Visa Number Retrogression and Scheduled U.S. Senate Immigration Reform Legislation Hearing on 10/18/2005

The U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hear and debate the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Bills begining from 9:00 a.m. of October 18, 2005. There are two comprehensive immigration reform bills before the Committee. One is McCain-Kennedy bill, S. 1033, The Secure America and Orderly Immigration Act of 2005, and the other is Cornyn-Kyl bill, S. 1438, Comprehensive Enforcement and Immigration Reform Act of 2005. McCain bill focus on the earned immigration issue, while Cornyn bill focus on enforcement and border security. Immigrant community supports the McCain bill. We are glad that the two roadblocks to the immigration reform legislation agenda, Hurricane in the Gulf and the confirmation of the U.S. Supreme Court Chief Justice, were quickly resolved and behind us so that the Hill can now concentrate on other pressing issues like the Comprehensive Immigration Reform legislation as initially intended.
The upcoming comprehensive immigration reform hearing draws a lot of attention from the immigrants and immigrant community, particularly as related to the employment-based immigrant visa number retrogression and anticipated relief for the EB visa numbers once the comprehensive immigration reform legislation is enacted in one form or another. As we reported earlier, the two bills show a sharp conflict in the issues relating to the forms of relief for undocumented aliens. However, when it comes to legal immigration, the differences are substantially narrowed in the two bills. Both bills agree that the country needs increased number of legal immigrant workers and propose to increase the EB immigrant visa numbers, albeit some differences in total numbers these bills propose. Accordingly, the employment-based immigrant community is anxiously looking forward to enactment of the immigration reform legislation in one form or another because of the current terrible EB visa number retrogression. This reporter encourages the visitors of this web site to tune into C-Span at 9:00 a.m. on October 18 to hear the debates on these two bills.
For the difference in EB visa number increase in these bills, please revisit our posting on 09/14/2004."
 
HI puhrince

Did you get your 140 yet ?
looks like gcin05 got in a months time.
I just got my paper mail, probably will file next week ?

Thanks
PD -23 jan 2003
Michigan EB3
Hard copy of labour received -10/08/2005
 
hey ssaugato, good to see you ur in here too

well i will be filing it next week..i was busy deciding whether i should choose AOS or CP for the 3rd stage(since we have to specify that in the I-140 form)
i will be doing CP now since at least some activity will take place while the retrogression goes on..
but today,i read news that we will be allowed to file I-485 without approval..so i might choose I-485 again now
other than that my lawyers are very slow on this matter,so its taken quite a while now

ssaugato said:
HI puhrince

Did you get your 140 yet ?
looks like gcin05 got in a months time.
I just got my paper mail, probably will file next week ?

Thanks
PD -23 jan 2003
Michigan EB3
Hard copy of labour received -10/08/2005
 
Silver lining in this dark cloud of EB regression

puhrince said:
hey ssaugato, good to see you ur in here too

well i will be filing it next week..i was busy deciding whether i should choose AOS or CP for the 3rd stage(since we have to specify that in the I-140 form)
i will be doing CP now since at least some activity will take place while the retrogression goes on..
but today,i read news that we will be allowed to file I-485 without approval..so i might choose I-485 again now
other than that my lawyers are very slow on this matter,so its taken quite a while now

Hi Everybody

Looks line the Senate and the House have passsed the S 1932 Reconciliation Bill. I am pasting the announcement at the www.immigration-law.com web site.
Hope this will greatly impact in reducing the backlog.

Cheers

Higcoptimist


11/03/2005: Senate Passed S. 1932 Reconciliation Bill including Immigration Packet which Senate Judiciary Had Passed
11/03/2005: Senate Passed S. 1932 Reconciliation Bill including Immigration Packet which Senate Judiciary Had Passed

At. 05:51 p.m. (est), the full Senate passed S. 1932 after defeating Byrd Amendment. On the House side, the House Budget Committee just passed the House version of the appropriation bill which is scheduled to the full House action next week. The difference between the House and the Senate will be resolved thereafter at the conference committee. Please stay tuned!
 
higc, how much of a help will this be if it gets cleared? I read that the Edward Kennedy pending bill will be of the most value to us since it asks for double the existing quota
 
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