Guys and Gals,
It has now been over a week since this retrogression and I have had time to visit numerous sites and almost all the different threads in this forum. From what I have read so far I can only guess the following reasons for the USCIS to retrogress the dates to 98.
1. The USCIS is terrified of the number of labor cases in the BackLog Elimination Centers. They are being very cautious because the initial assessment of the number of cases in these centers is frightening. USCIS is being over cautious and has thrown back the date to 98 for Indian EB3s because they are certain that there will be no labor from 98 in these centers. They will keep a close watch on the BECs and depending on the number of cases that come out of them and the PDs of the cases that come out of these centers, the PD dates will either move or stay the same. I am pretty confident that there are very few EB3 cases from 98-2000. So the dates should get to 2001 fairly quickly. Maybe as early as Jan 06.
2. USCIS is terrified of the PERM process because they fear that their centers will be flooded with people filing 485 applications. Te be on the safe side they have thrown back the dates to 98. They have ensured that there are no new 485 cases till they get a handle on the BEC cases.
3. There is also a move to eliminate labor substitution and the dates have been thrown back to prevent people from "cheating" the system.
Everything points to the fact that this "rash" decision has been made to ensure that the USCIS is not clogged with cases. They have taken the worst case scenario and have made a decision based on that. They have erred on the side of caution as they say.
Logically I just do not see how the dates for EB3 Indians will not get into 2001 by the end of this year. If they don't get there then we know that this is more than mere backlog worries. This may be a policy shift ... we have to keep a close eye on that.
regards,
saras
It has now been over a week since this retrogression and I have had time to visit numerous sites and almost all the different threads in this forum. From what I have read so far I can only guess the following reasons for the USCIS to retrogress the dates to 98.
1. The USCIS is terrified of the number of labor cases in the BackLog Elimination Centers. They are being very cautious because the initial assessment of the number of cases in these centers is frightening. USCIS is being over cautious and has thrown back the date to 98 for Indian EB3s because they are certain that there will be no labor from 98 in these centers. They will keep a close watch on the BECs and depending on the number of cases that come out of them and the PDs of the cases that come out of these centers, the PD dates will either move or stay the same. I am pretty confident that there are very few EB3 cases from 98-2000. So the dates should get to 2001 fairly quickly. Maybe as early as Jan 06.
2. USCIS is terrified of the PERM process because they fear that their centers will be flooded with people filing 485 applications. Te be on the safe side they have thrown back the dates to 98. They have ensured that there are no new 485 cases till they get a handle on the BEC cases.
3. There is also a move to eliminate labor substitution and the dates have been thrown back to prevent people from "cheating" the system.
Everything points to the fact that this "rash" decision has been made to ensure that the USCIS is not clogged with cases. They have taken the worst case scenario and have made a decision based on that. They have erred on the side of caution as they say.
Logically I just do not see how the dates for EB3 Indians will not get into 2001 by the end of this year. If they don't get there then we know that this is more than mere backlog worries. This may be a policy shift ... we have to keep a close eye on that.
regards,
saras
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