Processing Dates - how reliable?

No, not really, at least I don't think so. A few months ago they changed the way they report the processing times, by which they only report the true processing time when it is over their target (i.e. when they have backlog). When the processing time is equal or better than their target they only report their target processing time. In this case the best way to track "real" processing times is to visit a forum like this and see how others are doing. However, with the unpredictable name check process there are wide variations in the amount of time taken. However, it should be easy to figure out the typical time taken for an application per district office. In my case I am on San Jose district office, and it seems that a regular case without complications is taking around 6 or 7 months to process.

My 2 cents.
 
To really understand all this, you need to channel the "confuse the customer" strategy at the core of all of what the USCIS does. :)
 
Huracan said:
No, not really, at least I don't think so. A few months ago they changed the way they report the processing times, by which they only report the true processing time when it is over their target (i.e. when they have backlog). When the processing time is equal or better than their target they only report their target processing time. In this case the best way to track "real" processing times is to visit a forum like this and see how others are doing. However, with the unpredictable name check process there are wide variations in the amount of time taken. However, it should be easy to figure out the typical time taken for an application per district office. In my case I am on San Jose district office, and it seems that a regular case without complications is taking around 6 or 7 months to process.

My 2 cents.
Click to expand...

The Albany DO is now stating May 14th. Last month it was April 14th.
Don't all the DO have the same target < 6 months? According to this
figure. Albany is taking 7 months.

Now my understanding of what the date means is that for Albany,
EVERY SINGLE CASE (RD or ND I'm not sure) before May 14th
has been assigned to an officer. Now lucky people who filed much later could
also have their case assigned and unlucky people could have a case assigned
to a slow or on-vacation officer!

Obongo
 
Obongo said:
The Albany DO is now stating May 14th. Last month it was April 14th.
Don't all the DO have the same target < 6 months? According to this
figure. Albany is taking 7 months.

Now my understanding of what the date means is that for Albany,
EVERY SINGLE CASE (RD or ND I'm not sure) before May 14th
has been assigned to an officer. Now lucky people who filed much later could
also have their case assigned and unlucky people could have a case assigned
to a slow or on-vacation officer!

Obongo
Click to expand...

Well, that was the president's challenge for USCIS to process in less than 6 months. I think what they are doing is giving themselves an extra month of breathing room.
Perhaps what you say is true. I think instead of a vacationing officer the most likely issue to cause a delay is the name check, or lost files or mail. I take this processing date just as their stated goal to process the application, which for most district offices is seven months or better. I think people posting in this forum can give you a more accurate view on how long it actually takes to process an application in a particular district office. That is if there is enough people sharing their experience.
 
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