Proccessing Time Trend:

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Registered Users (C)
I made a list of the INS prossing time updates from the past 2 years to see if there is any trend of proccessing times apparend that would help predict if there is a chance for all of us to get approved in less than one year. It may be a little hard to read due to the formatting limitations, but it seem that 10-12 months is now the average it needs for an I-485 case to get approval. Also, if you look at the number of cases filed per month (at least according to the sample listed on www.rupnet.com/immigration) it seems that there was a huge amount of cases filed in August/September of 2001, but October and the months thereafter were much lower in volume. Thus, approvals should speed up from here (unless the INS shifts there efforts to other areas and leaves I-485 cases sitting).

So here is the data:

INS Notice from: Procesissing I-485 from: Proccesing Time in Months:
9/23/2002 9/15/2001 12.3
8/5/2002 8/15/2001 11.7
6/11/2002 8/1/2001 10.4
4/1/2002 6/1/2001 10.0
1/21/2002 4/1/2001 9.7
9/24/2001 11/15/2000 10.3
6/25/2001 8/1/2000 10.8
5/28/2001 7/1/2000 10.9
4/30/2001 4/1/2000 13.0
4/2/2001 10/15/1999 17.6
2/26/2001 10/15/1999 16.5
1/29/2001 10/15/1999 15.6
11/27/2000 9/1/1999 14.9
10/2/2000 8/1/1999 14.1
8/31/2000 8/1/1999 13.1
 
What trend can you see from this data?

There is no distinct pattern at all.
To say "approvals will pick up from now on" is almost
like to say "the stock market has bottomed out and will go up".
I can not find any basis for your assertion other than wishful thinking.
Besides, when you deal with INS any historical data is meaningless.
 
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