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Predictions for the upcoming bulletin??????

  • Thread starter Thread starter mdawoodm
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mdawoodm

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Hi friends,
I hope everyone is fine. What do you think about the cut-off numbers for December. For November we have

AFRICA 13,900 Except: Egypt 6,600 Ethiopia 9,100 Nigeria 8,500
ASIA 2,350
EUROPE 7,000


Thanks!
 
it is based on previous years.
Asia is abnormally too low. The number needs to catch up sooner or later. it is difficult to make a prediction because of the supposed second draw. What number will be granted to those people?
 
Hey! How come you guys keep leaving little old Oceania out of these types of posts? :(

It's hard to predict the next month's cut-off dates, or at least it is when it comes to Oceania. I've got all the previous year's dates in a spreadsheet to see if there's a pattern. Some months the case-numbers jump by 100 or 200, and once by 300, other months's by much smaller amounts, i.e., 75 or as low as 35.

It's easier to predict when your own case number will be current, based on previous years, than by how much the case-numbers will change each month, imo.
 
Oceania? Where is that?! just kidding...
Actually I have a presentiment that it's going to keep the same pace as last month.

Realistic prevision:
Africa 14600
Asia 3100
Europe 8800
Oceania 650

Optimistic prevision, I hope it's right:
Africa 14600
Asia 4700
Europe 9900
Oceania 690
 
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I was going to ask the same question lol Poor little Oceania seems to be left out of most of the conversations lol

Warm wishes

Q
 
mdawoodm said:
Sorry mate for not including Oceania.
Best wishes!
Click to expand...

No worries! :D


kazore said:
Oceania? Where is that?! just kidding...
Click to expand...
LOL! It's a torturously long flight away from anywhere ;)
kazore said:
Actually I have a presentiment that it's going to keep the same pace as last month.

Realistic prevision:
Africa 14600
Asia 3100
Europe 8800
Oceania 650

Optimistic prevision, I hope it's right:
Africa 14600
Asia 4700
Europe 9900
Oceania 690
Click to expand...

Your Optimistic prevision would have me current in January! Actually, even your Realistic one could probably do that too ... Yikes! But it'd be good to get it over with.

I don't know what to predict for Oceania. Based on previous years, it's been all over the place .... the last couple of years it slowed down a lot in December & January for Oceania, case-numbers only increasing by 75 in DV2012 and 50 for DV2011. In DV2010, December jumped by 200! So it's so unpredictable for us. Maybe it's more consistent for other regions?


Qewty said:
I was going to ask the same question lol Poor little Oceania seems to be left out of most of the conversations lol

Warm wishes

Q
Click to expand...

Just thought I'd pipe up for us, so we could play too :D

Best wishes to everyone too!
 
Hi guys!

My husband I so said about the low cut-off numbers:( We hope the numbers goes more quickly in mid of october the next visa bulletin. Last year it was much quicker, than now, what do you think?
My predection is very optimistic EU 15 700 because of our case numbers, but if you see the last year visa bulletin it is gonna be really realistic so do not give up, fringers crossed:):):)

Best of Luck!!!
 
Juicee said:
Hi guys!

My husband I so said about the low cut-off numbers:( We hope the numbers goes more quickly in mid of october the next visa bulletin. Last year it was much quicker, than now, what do you think?
My predection is very optimistic EU 15 700 because of our case numbers, but if you see the last year visa bulletin it is gonna be really realistic so do not give up, fringers crossed:):):)



Best of Luck!!!
Click to expand...

To be honest with you, I see you and myself as February candidates. And for that, I would need an average of 650 per month, while you would need an average of 2900 per month. But I am quite optimistic that there will be a substantial increase in the upcoming bulletin for both Asia and Europe, while Africa is already going right.

Let's hope for the best!
 
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It's October already, now I hope it will go faster. I would have preferred that the new drawing would be today and not october 22. It think that a reason of the low numbers for Europe and Asia.
Can you believe some people already had their interview this morning at 7:30?!
 
Any predictions when the bulletin will be released???

Best wishes to everyone!
 
What do you think Hillary Clinton Minister of Foreign Affairs is leaving the ministry in January and the presidental election are affect the visa bulletin? In 2006 was the year when the visa bulletin goes slow like in this year, 2009, 2010 and 2011 were a really good year about the numbers. It seems it is a dirket prevent or something like that....
Is there anyone who asked the KCC what causes the slow visa bulletin?

Best of Luck guys!!!
 
Juicee said:
What do you think Hillary Clinton Minister of Foreign Affairs is leaving the ministry in January and the presidental election are affect the visa bulletin? In 2006 was the year when the visa bulletin goes slow like in this year, 2009, 2010 and 2011 were a really good year about the numbers. It seems it is a dirket prevent or something like that....
Is there anyone who asked the KCC what causes the slow visa bulletin?

Best of Luck guys!!!
Click to expand...

I don't think so. It is because the slowest years, DV-2006, DV-2007 not at election year, DV-2005, DV-2009 are election year.

But anyone can tell us, what's the algorithms of DV? It's seems some pattern occurred, but we never draw out the conclusion!

Another questions, anyone know how many target visa will issue on DV-2013 Asia region?
 
mdawoodm said:
Any predictions when the bulletin will be released???

Best wishes to everyone!
Click to expand...

My prediction: Wednesday the 10th.

This one will be an important one for me, as I think it will give me a better idea of my interview date. If the increase in case numbers slows right down, like the last two years, then I reckon my interview will be February or March. But if it chugs along at the current pace, it could be January. Since I have travel plans for February, it's pretty important for me to know. If my interview is in February, I'll have to change my interview date to later, so that's why I'm hoping for January.

I don't know what it's like for other regions, but OC shows no predictable pattern on a month-to-month basis. Or at least none that I can see.
 
Monday was a holiday in the US, the bulletin should be released today or wednesday. That's not a prediction but a certitude.
 
Hmmm, Wednesday the 10th is almost over and no November Visa Bulletin yet :(

Hopefully tomorrow!
 
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