Pending Oct cases and CIA check prediction

differential

New Member
I have a theory that may explain what is going on with the pending cases.

It seems that the INS is experiencing a backlog in the CIA check process. See immigration-law.com and usvisanews.com. As far as I understand, the way it usually works is as follows. The INS periodically sends a tape with names and bio info of I-485 applicants to the CIA. If they do not receive a response back from the CIA within 60 days, they approve the I-485. So, as long as they send the tape early enough there should be no delay in approving the case once it comes up for adjudication.

The problem, however, is that the INS may be behind in their data entry. In fact, in 98-99 they were more than a year backlogged in composing and sending the tapes to the CIA, causing AOS processing to stop completely for more than a year.

If the same data is sent to the FBI and the CIA, then hose OCT waiters whose fingerprints were taken earlier can therefore perhaps be expected to be approved sooner. In fact, from immitracker.com it seems that the few OCT people who were approved this week had very early FP dates compared to the pending ones.

What I don\'t understand is how such incompetence in scheduling can be tolerated.
 
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