No EB3 predictions for India in December bulletin

L

LaborPains

Registered Users (C)
surprising... as the bulletin had predictions for China/India EB1 & Eb2 categories but none for EB3 - which moved forward 8 days.

Is that really a ray of hope or just me looking for a ray of hope ?
 
keep this ray of hope

Great,:eek: keep this ray of hope and get 8 days of movement in every bulletin for 10 years and then they will retrogate again like EB2.

ENJOY
 
This means they're totally clueless about EB3 India movement as they are about practically anything else.

The ray of hope is not there in lack of prediction but in that the date is beyond Apr 30 (245-i deadline).

If your Eb3 India PD is in late 2001 or early 2002, be hopeful. But... don't expect more. If you're 2003... expect to visit these forums for half a decade or so. For people with PD's 2004 and beyond, kindly logout and return after five years.

LaborPains said:
surprising... as the bulletin had predictions for China/India EB1 & Eb2 categories but none for EB3 - which moved forward 8 days.

Is that really a ray of hope or just me looking for a ray of hope ?
Click to expand...
 
and people with PD in 2005 like me, don't even bother........

This Dec bulletin is really bad news
 
gravitation said:
This means they're totally clueless about EB3 India movement as they are about practically anything else.

The ray of hope is not there in lack of prediction but in that the date is beyond Apr 30 (245-i deadline).

If your Eb3 India PD is in late 2001 or early 2002, be hopeful. But... don't expect more. If you're 2003... expect to visit these forums for half a decade or so. For people with PD's 2004 and beyond, kindly logout and return after five years.
Click to expand...

My PD is Jan 31 2002. Since the last 2-3 yrs the frikkin cut-off dates haven't moved anywhere from April/May 01. I'm going to see for another year and after that just throw in the towel and call it quits.
And I dont know what to say to ppl with much later PD's. Unless congress does something, the wait will be forever.
 
I hate to be the pessimist, but does this mean that India EB3 could go U before the end of the first quarter fiscal year?
 
I think the visa numbers are allocated on a quaterly basis - let's wait for the January 2007 (2nd quarter's starting month) bulletin.
 
Yooklid said:
I hate to be the pessimist, but does this mean that India EB3 could go U before the end of the first quarter fiscal year?
Click to expand...

This is what it looks like (believing and extrapolating from what they said in the VB):

  • EB2 can move either forward or backward a bit... very likely to go U sometime later this year (but not now). However, in no circs should it reach anywhere near 2004.
  • EB3 could move forward at a very slow and cautious pace. It's anybody's guess, when/where the forward movement will be arrested. It can go U if DoL moves it forward too fast, too early.

With 2800 annual limit, there can be only 230 approvals (including dependents) every month for either EB2 or EB3. Unless, there's any overflow from RoW, India EB2 and EB3 are doomed to remain where they are. It's not rocket science: Hundred of thousands of applicants from India vs. less than 500 approvals a month (in both EB2 & EB3), how can you expect any movement?!

We did not observe this phenomena yet because:

1. RoW wasn't retrogressed and so there was overflow and annual limits didn't come into play.
2. A very large number of people were stuck in BEC's and hadn't filed their I-485's. So they were artificially prohibited from joining the queue.

Both of these factors are now gone! So... there's only one possibility... a seemingly endless retrogression winter... or rather an Ice Age... and this goes for both India EB2 and EB3.
 
EB3 ROW is retrogressed since 08/2005, with the exception of one month when everyone was current.

The apparent summer spill-over is due to the fact that the ROW dates have been retrogressed too severely and not enough 'approvable' cases were in the queue when the last quarter came. Unless the same thing happens this year EB2 & EB3 India will be retrogressed practically forever - EB3 ROW is not likely to become current before the end of the decade. There are already hundreds of thousands in the queue and if you analyze the PERM statistics you will see that there are enough new ROW applicants to keep the dates retrogressed perpetually.

EB3 ROW has moved a couple of months since fall 2006.
 
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