Naturalization Statistic - Can not explain waiting times

itc

Registered Users (C)
We hear that waiting times from naturalization have been reduced. The processing times for individual centers also confirm that. But if one looks at the pending naturalization cases on a month to month basis one observes that the numbers are stable for the last 2 years and more and in fact they are mildly increasing.


How is it possible for the waiting time to be reduced yet the number of pending cases is increasing?
 
itc said:
We hear that waiting times from naturalization have been reduced. The processing times for individual centers also confirm that. But if one looks at the pending naturalization cases on a month to month basis one observes that the numbers are stable for the last 2 years and more and in fact they are mildly increasing.


How is it possible for the waiting time to be reduced yet the number of pending cases is increasing?

That's why they call it "Bushit"
 
In New York Naturalization processing date running reverse. May 2004 processing date was Nov.2003. In Nov. 2004 that date was July 2003 now the processing date is April 2003. I don't know why? Could you please answer this?
 
Well to explain this discrepancies that many of us have one must know the following:

1. That the data USCIS is providing is accurate

2. The definition of their data


So if we assume that the number of pending N 400 is not changing but the time to get naturalized is shortening (as it is really obvious, I remember not so long when people were waiting for 3 years and more) than the bottle neck seems to be in the local centers. That means that Service centers were always pretty fast and were handing over the case (after FBI clearance and N 400 check) to the local centers in a matter of month or two. This is hard to believe but it looks like it is the current case. That means that it was always the local center that was determining the speed of the process and looks like major improvements were made on the local center level. So if there are any problems it must be on a local level. Yet, the fact that Service centers are not decreasing the number of pending N 400 and in fact the number is increasing is very concerning.

So to answer your specific question, we first must know what the definition of current date means. If someone knows it let us know here also. I remember reading quite awhile ago that the current processing date means the date the latest application was lifted off the desk. That does not mean that other dates are not processed means that the newest application somebody was working on was the date they put on their web site. This definition probably holds true as it is impossible to explain how somebody was working last month on let say 07/2004 applications and this month on 05/2004 applications.

So in your case the regression can be explained with the fact that the center has seized activity completely as far as adjudicating arriving cases. Whoever was working on the older case that is the number (date) they will post on the web site. The fact that this is regressing on a month to month basis means that they have pretty much completely stop working on scheduling interviews.
 
It is definitely delaying on the local level. My parenst PD in NYC is 10/22. They are done with the fingerprinting and I checked with the FBI yesterday, their fingerprints were submitted back to USCIS on 12/13. Now its up to the local office. So they are done with the service center in less than two months.

It is the local centers.
 
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