I do not think your prediction is reliable. No one knows when the USCIS request the NC, before or after the FP. It is just a guess.compass said:It is being tracked in
http://www.immigrationportal.com/showthread.php?t=174845
Importand date is your I-485 RD, since name check is initiated few weeks after it. If it is 2002 - you are close to approval (I think FBI is digging out old cases).