USCIS released January statistics. For the first time, the green line(approved) has crossed over the blue line(recieved). And the red line(pending) continued to drop. If just look at the red line, the picture is not very bad. Let's look at the numbers. If the red line will be symmetrical, it peaked at 9/2003. It may take a year for the curve to drop to the 9/2002 level. Then by 9/2004, the red line would drop to a level, with accumulated cases at 4,500,000.
For Juanary the total received are around 500,000. And 130,000 are EADs that have to be processed rightway. Let's assume that 200,000 has to be processed rightway, then each month 300,000 new cases should be put into the waiting line. In around 15 months, that would accumulate into 4,500,000 pending cases, equal to the number of total accumulated cases at that time. So the conclusion is if you file your cases at 9/2003, the waiting time may be just 15 months.
For Juanary the total received are around 500,000. And 130,000 are EADs that have to be processed rightway. Let's assume that 200,000 has to be processed rightway, then each month 300,000 new cases should be put into the waiting line. In around 15 months, that would accumulate into 4,500,000 pending cases, equal to the number of total accumulated cases at that time. So the conclusion is if you file your cases at 9/2003, the waiting time may be just 15 months.