I-485 retrogression for EB-2

N

navdod

Registered Users (C)
Hi Guys,
Have you heard of any retrogression for EB-2 beginning August 2005?
I heard from someone that UCIS has projected that EB-2 will retrogress to Early 2001 in August in a recently released bulliten.
I would like to know if any one else has heard this news, if so, could you please point to the document.

The following link shows the current status
http://www.jackson-hertogs.com/quota/0quota.htm

Thanks
 
Immigrant Visas for FY 2005

I found this ...
An excerpt from http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_2507.html

“E. VISA AVAILABILITY DURING THE REMAINDER OF FY-2005

Employment-based: During the past month there has been a significant increase in the amount of numbers being used by Citizenship and Immigration Service (CIS) offices for adjustment of status applicants. This level of demand has significantly depleted the supply of Employment-based numbers available under the annual limit. Recent discussions with CIS have made it clear that their backlog reduction efforts will sustain or increase the current level of demand. Therefore, continued visa availability in the Employment-based categories cannot be guaranteed during the final quarter of FY-2005. If demand continues at the current rate, it will be necessary to oversubscribe many or all of the Employment categories on a Worldwide basis. Such oversubscription could result in the establishment of cut-off dates, retrogression of already established dates, or some categories becoming “unavailable”. “
 
Yes - It is a possiblity

Here is another article about that:

06/10/2005: EB Visa Number Prediction Update

AILA has reported that in April 2005 alone, USCIS used approximately 25,000 numbers and the number is expected to increase as the USCIS accelerates its action to reduce the processing times of employment-based I-485 applications. Considering the current trend of USCIS exhaustion of visa numbers, the State Department reportedly predicts that by July 2005, over 84% of the total FY 2005 EB visa numbers will be depleted and before the end of September 2005, total available visa numbers will disappear. This trend is expected to affect very negatively the cut-off dates of Employment-Based visas throughout the world sooner than initially predicted. Without doubt, it will also affect the visa cut-off dates for India and China negatively.

And all of this is happening even before the BPCs have started picking up their full speed and sending out their LC approvals! Wondering what if PERM approvals also join this!! God only should help us out.

Rasi
 
There is always some control step in the whole process. Only some lucky people can get in several months. However, I don't think it will retrogress back to 2001, maybe 2002 or 2003. It won't be worse than EB3. Just my guess. BTW, my PD is Nov 2001. My 485 is stuck at name check.
 
RFE and retrogression

If a 485 is filed because the PD is before the cut off date, and let us say RFE is issued and before the
response to RFE is processed, if there is further retrogression to earlier than the PD, then we are stuck is it ?
 
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