Green Card Predictions

[Edison]

Based on the current rate of approval, Most of the 2002 I-485 applicants will get the GC with in 6 to 8 years and most of the 2003 I-485 applicants will get the GC with in 8 to 12 years.

 

[kashmir]

WAC01&02 I485 - number of approvals per month

(originally posted at Project Kashmir thread 2nd November 2003 05:54 PM)

[B]WAC01&02 I485 - number of approvals per month[/B]
323 ... October 2003
442 ... September 2003
252 ... August 2003
263 ... July 2003
395 ... June 2003
359 ... May 2003
397 ... April 2003

51,551 ... The total number of I485 cases filed between August 2001 and September 2002
33,702 ... The number of pending cases among the above

33702 / ((323 + 442 + 252 + 263 + 395 + 359 + 397) / 7) = [B]97 months[/B] = [B]8 years[/B] and 1 month

 

[kashmir]

estimate with the current approval pace

(323 + 442 + 252 + 263 + 395 + 359 + 397) / 7 = 350 approvals per month

ND Month Filed App Pendi Mon Processing
--------^-----^---^-----^---^-------------------
Dec 2001 2,128 173 1,955 5.6 Oct 2003 - Mar 2004
Jan 2002 2,808 134 2,674 7.6 Mar 2004 - Oct 2004
Feb 2002 2,771 155 2,616 7.4 Nov 2004 - May 2005
Mar 2002                     May 2005 -

The CSC has approved about 350 cases per month in average for the last seven months.
The above estimate doesn't consider more than 5,000 pending cases filed between Aug 2001 and Nov 2001.
It needs another one year just to clear these cases.

 

[kashmir]

One fourth of November paswd by,
and this month seems worse than any of the previous 7 months...

Please join 15 ADJUDICATORS campaign.
-kashmir

 

[Silly Man]

The above poll doesn't consider that there are fewer 2001 people than 2002 people.

 

[Edison]

The poll was created just to test how optimistic are our people, so it doesn't matter whether we have few 2001 applicants here. Based on current poll results I think most of the active vistors are 2001 and early 2002 applicants.

 

[firebird]

Jul-Dec 2002

My vote is for < 2 years.

-fb-