Fun Poll: October India EB3 Prediction

What will be the PD for India EB3 in October Visa Bulletin?

  • Total voters
    52
  • Poll closed .
Just for fun ...


EB3 India Best Case Scenario - May 01

EB3 India Worst Case Scenario - Further Retro.

Please do not ask me the basis of the above predictions. There is no logic or basis .. the predictions are based on fear. People on this forum who claim that their predictions (good or bad) are based in logic are kidding themsevles :)

regards,

saras
 
Can be June or after

I am not very optimistic but not pessimistic too. My guess is not based on any valid patterns. I tried to put whatever came to my mind as a thought.
 
Findings so far...

If you haven't voted, please vote before reading further.

  • 2/3rd of those who predicted a date, expect India EB3 to cross May 1st or beyond in Oct bull.
  • 13% expect PD to remain in Apr.
  • 10% expect further regrogression.

For whatever it's worth.
 
If rest of the world is in October 2001 why can't India be at June 2001? Anyway, its not in our hands why not look for the best.
 
knowDOL said:
If rest of the world is in October 2001 why can't India be at June 2001? Anyway, its not in our hands why not look for the best.
Click to expand...

Unlike RoW, India EB3 is very dependent on overflow from EB3 RoW. Because the per country limit is merely 2800 and applicants are many times that. Due to large number of 245(i) applications filed in Apr 2001, India EB3 is likely to be stuck there for a long time.

I know many people will say we don't know the exact number of 245(i)'s from India. Sure we don't. But nobody's arguing there aren't at least tens of thousands (if not hundreads) and you have to count family members to at the top of that.

I see "absolutists" arguing that unless you know each number exactly you cannot reach any conclusion at all. You can overcome that limitation by using very conservative numbers for everything and even that tells us unless RoW is current, India EB3 will be stuck in May for many many years.

It can temporarily creep beyond May if BEC's take too long in approving 245(i), but that'll be only temporary.

That's why if RoW is Oct 2001, India EB3 PD can't be June.

However, I do agree with the last part. Why not look for the best! I'm optimistic that the situation wil be resolved one way or another, either by SKIL bill or I'll win Nobel Prize for Perl Programming and move to EB1 :)
 
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