EB2 Retrogress: Predictions ?

G

gcard2005

Registered Users (C)
Here is my case:

EB2 (PD: Feb, 2004) (485 RD: 07/13/2004 from VSC)

Recent talks about retrogressing EB2 cases is making me nervous.

Any predictions if my case can get approved before 07/13/2006 i.e. almost one yr from now ?

Any predictions on what might be the cut off dates of retrogress happens for EB2 ?
 
You were misinformed.

Do you really understand the concept of retrogression? Even if it does happen, it would start from the big four countries. Are you from one of the four countries?

Statistically speaking, retrogression in the EB2 category is unlikely to happen in fiscal year 2005. Personally, I would like to see retrogression. Why? Read my post.

In 2004, Employment Preference category had annual limit of 140,000 visas plus 64,422 unused family-based visas in previous fiscal year. So, the 2004 employment preference limit was 204,422. The limit was 28.6 percent of the total or 58,465 for the first three preferences.

Do you know how many PRs were granted for EB2 in 2004? Only 32,534 out of possible 58,465 EB2 visas or 55%. It was very pathetic. There were MORE EB2 visas available than the USCIS could process. Shame on USCIS.

To be honest, would you rather have retrogression than seeing thousands of unused visa numbers left in EB2?

My 2 cents’ worth

EB2 @ VSC
PD 3/2003
140/485 6/2004
140 AP 2/2005
FP 4/05
485 ??


Info source: http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/statistics/publications/FlowReportLegalPermResidents2004.pdf
 
Last edited by a moderator:
617D,

My source is directly from USCIS's Sept visa bulletin that came out recently. It mentions possibilities of EB2 retrogression before Dec 2005. What is ur basis when u say that EB2 retro is quite difficult.
 
Only observation

I got the impression that you don’t like retrogression. However, the advantages of retrogression outweigh the disadvantages of saving thousands of unused visas.

As mentioned in the post, the INS granted 32,534 out of possible 58,465 in 2004. The number indicates that the INS did not work towards its full capacity. Do they ever? LOL

What I would like to see is that EB2 visas are fully depleted every year. That way, all GC applicants are getting approved a little faster. So, retrogression to me is not a bad news.

In 2004, Mr. Bush promised to reduce GC processing time to 180 days by 2010. (I am not sure about the year) The EB3 already reached its limit in July. Now you are saying that the EB2 may reach its limit in September.

Is Bush’s promise getting fulfilled? Are people on this board getting approved soon? I wish someone could tell me.

Good luck to you buddy
 
Well, I didn't create this thread to discuss adv or disadv of retrogression. I wanted to get some insights on what ppl think might happen to EB2 retrogession i.e. how likely it is to happen and if it happens what might be the cut off dates.
 
I wish people on this board could tell you that.

You do have a visa bulletin telling you retrogression, do you? Why not share that info?
 
Okay now EB2 Retrogression Gusstimate.

Come Jan 2006 EB2 according to my guesstimate, EB2 will retrogress to Jan 2004.

I feel like a erratic tantrik today.
 
I think you meant effective Oct 2005...that's what they (USCIS) mean when they say next year.
 
No Sir. I did not.

You didn't mention China and India. I assumed you were talking about everyone in the EB2.

Sorry to hear that. Too many people from there.
 
gb04 said:
I think you meant effective Oct 2005...that's what they (USCIS) mean when they say next year.
Click to expand...

No I meant Jan 2006 only. I know what you are saying though.
EB2 will remain current for the rest of the year 2005.

It will see retrogression in Jan 2006.
But as is said I am just throwing guesstimates for fun.
 
As I read here ... EB2 will retrogade by Jan 2006... Will that include EB2 NIW category as well? Is't that contrary to the interest of the nation to hold back processing of NIW cases?.... Any comments....
 
617D said:
Do you know how many PRs were granted for EB2 in 2004? Only 32,534 out of possible 58,465 EB2 visas or 55%. It was very pathetic. There were MORE EB2 visas available than the USCIS could process. Shame on USCIS
Click to expand...


IF numbers are not used in EB2 they passed to EB3. They will not go waste.
If any thing goes waste it EB3 unused visa if any
 
Unused visas not wasted

tammy2 said:
IF numbers are not used in EB2 they passed to EB3. They will not go waste.
If any thing goes waste it EB3 unused visa if any
Click to expand...


I am fully aware of that. Just like receiving 64,422 unused visas from the family-base category.

However, recycling unused visas was moot to EB2 applicants at the time. Without leftover visas, 28 percent of 140,000 (annual limit) is about 40,040. 40040-32534=7506

7506 GCs!! Again, the INS didn’t even come close to that number. That’s the point I was trying to make.

Thanks for your reply
 
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