EB1- retrogression -- doing the math

krprasad

Registered Users (C)
as u all know there is no labor for EB1, and from what i have heard, I-140 gets approved in 3-6 months for 75% of people (optimist guess).

and i think concurrent filing was allowed somewhere around 2003(i dont know exactly)

i would like to now calculate total applications pending till date (because i have not filed yet, hence i need to know people ahead of me in the queue).

assuming that 70% of people who applied till 2003 got their 485 that means their numbers has been counted, that means they are not in the queue.

and 50% people who applied till june 2004, got their 485 (optimistic guess)

my assumption is that not more than 5000 people may have been filing EB1-india.

approximate guess of pending application, EB1-india till aug 2002,
I think not more than 1000

till 2002------------ 1000
till 2003-------------1500 (30% of 5000)
till 2004 june--------1250 (50% of 2500)
till 2005 oct -------- 3750
_______________________________________
total ---------------7500

per year limit for EB1-india = 2800

assuming that because of some old visa number this goes upto 3500 for 2006
to clear the above queue.

2006 ----3500
2007 ----2800
2008-----2800 (i will get my 485 in this year :rolleyes: )

some one please verify if above approximations or badly off place...

not a great outlook but better than eb3 and eb2....atleast some hope is there...
 
.

About right. but this calculation doesn't include USCIS acrew ups and local office transfers.
 
pras01 : i did not understand can you please elaborate
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pras01 About right. but this calculation doesn't include USCIS acrew ups and local office transfers.
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