fimbria,
At this point everything is pure speculation. Even the DOS and the USCIS do not know exaclty how many 245i cases are still pending let alone know the exact number from India. This whole retrogression is based on forecasts and no one knows what data those forecasts have been derived from. I would not try to analyze this issue to much. There really is no sense. The troubling part is that the PD for India moved by just a month for April. No one can really tell you why this is. The list of good guesses (as dallas pointed out) are -
1. There are a lot of 245i cases from India. I would believe this but from what I have heard most of the 245i cases are still stuck in labor and BPCs are not chruning out approvals. Even if they are approving the 245i cases then they are not eligible to file for 485 because Indias EB3 is before April 01. So this theory has a lot of holes in it.
2. Labor substituion. This may be harming us but I do not believe that there are enough labor substituion cases to justify a PD of Feb 01. This is purely my own opinion. I may be entirely wrong here.
3. DOS and USCIS are scared of the "projected" 245i cases and having screwed over thousands of people by approving cases in a random manner without regard for PD, RD or ND over the past 2-3 years, is using this time to clean house. They have a nice excuse in the form of 245i. They have relatively less work and are making sure all the old cases are cleared before opening the flood gates. I am not suggesting that the 245i cases are not a problem, however I am of the opinion that this issue is being used to falsely justify such stiff retrogression dates.
I am sure other readers will have more input into this.
regards,
saras76