Approval for cases after March 00 ?

vsc_line

Registered Users (C)
About a couple of months ago, I had read on this board that INS will process cases that were filed after March 00 in parallel to the Oct 99-March 00 cases. If this is true, then we should have seen approvals for some of the cases filed after March 00.
I have not yet seen any approvals for cases filed after March 2000. Can someone please explain this ?
 
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vsc_line,

It was only a theory that was suggested by a user on this board. A lot of us here disagreed on this theory. I do not think that anyone should assume how INS would process just by relying on one netter\'s theory. I don\'t think it was conclusive.

There are certain theories that hold some water based on many other\'s experience and some patterns that are legit. Some of the theories have become more of a conventional wisdom, however the one you are referring to was not one, to best of my knowledge.
 
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In addition, VSCLINE do you think its a fair deal for pre-Mar00 filers? I think that thoery that lingered on the board is totally baseless.
 
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This theory evolved based on the fact that VSC started issuing FP notices for ND\'s past 04/00 ahead of 09/99-03/00 dates. Also looking at the trends at CSC one would expect similar trend in VSC for 04/00 and later FPers..
But Now it seems too late to be true at VSC as every one else from 09/99-03/00 received FP notices and been through the process where as the trend still continues at CSC... lucky they....
 
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Dont just rely on theories - after all these years dealing with the INS I have determined that the only thing predictable with INS is that it is totally unpredictable !!!
 
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Folks,

from the information posted on monthly 485 approvals at immitracker, it appears as if VSC is approving about 50 cases a month. This rate of 50 per month appears to be a robust estimate as it seems to be holding for January, February and March of 2001 i.e. after the new Bush administration took over.

Given this rate, it looks as if applications with ND of Feb 2001 (the latest as per the info on immitracker) will be approved in about 14 months from now (as there are 692 cases outstanding).

Thoughts and comments will be appreciated.
Thanks in advance.
 
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50 applications per week suggests that one individual working 20 to 21 days per months is processing about 2 to 3 cases per day. Hmm, get 5 helpers and you\'re running at the CSC rate within two months, ie. current.

Also, if one person were truly working alone (I can\'t imaging 2 people working each averaging 1.25 cases per work day - that\'s just too slow), then clearly we ought NOT to be calling the service center for updates, unless a case is taking longer than estimated on the notification. Also, just because we hear someone get approved out of order that is no reason for all of us to simultaneously pester the service center. That behavior can\'t be leaving a good impression on the people working there. They are just doing their jobs. Slow processing, like poorly built cars, is due to high level problems - due to poor methods - something that management is responsible for, not the workers. If you are upset, direct literate, intelligent letters expressing your concerns to the government.

Remember, we are awaiting the grant of a privilege, not the fulfillment of a right.
 
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SJJ,

Where did you get the 50 approvals a WEEK estimate from ? I mentioned a 50 approval/month trend.
 
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Thanks for the catch, VoodooDoc. Math stands, though. I just used week by mistake instead of month. Approx 20 working days per month is 2.5 applications per day for one person. Thrilling - NOT!
 
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50 samples is not the same as 50 cases
Both VoodooDoc and SJJ are talking of case samples in immitracker.com
Its an excellent site maintained by myladoor, but statistically, it may not be be a scientific sample per se. Also, I hope all are updating their approval info. I hope though that your hypothesis proves right for real numbers.

aGCSeeker.
 
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I know people are anxious. I am too. However, we seem to be inventing all sorts of theories to explain INS\'s behavior. Could it be possible that we are making too much out of this? Here is a message from a guy who should know more than us:

03/23-26/2001
According to the State Department, we can expect to see employment-based second preference numbers for India and China becoming current in the near future, possibly as early as May or June. EB-3 numbers for China and India are expected to advance at probably four-five months or more per calendar month. We are being told that EB-3 numbers for all nationalities should become current by December this year, unless there is a sudden increase in green card filings. Rajiv.

That was a message from Rajiv Khanna and appears on the home page of this site. So guys, let us all take it easy. Our time will come.
 
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Hi folks,
Could you explain about "bcome current", I think "bcome current" only main you could file I-485 right after apporoved I-140,You do not need to wait, but after you file the I-485 you still have to wait 365 days and more, so " become current" no much help for people who wait to be processed I-485. Am I right?
 
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I think you are right, Connie. In a month or so, it will be 365 days for me. I will be the happiest person on the planet (at least for a few days), if I am lucky enough to fall in the lower end of the estimate. But I can almost bet on the fact that it won\'t be so. I guess I would settle for not being on the higher end :)

Good luck
 
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Now the reality proved the truth. VSC INS is starting to prove Arpril 2000 cases. And there are still many \'99 cases pending. What is VSC doing? Paralle approving ready to be approved cases.
 
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