A theory

[aGCseeker]

A theory...

Based on the movements that we are seeing in FP I have a theory:
Lets say,
Category 1: Oct 99(1 month RDs)
Category 2: Nov 99 - Mar 00(5 month RDs when PD was current)
Category 3: April 00 - Sep 00(RDs when PD retrogressed)

1. We saw FP for Categ-1 cases from mid-Jan 2001 to Feb 2001(1 1/2 months).
2. We are seeing FP for Categ-2 cases from mid Feb 2001. Let\'s assume it carries on till the end of March 01(1 1/2 months)
3. FP for Categ-1 and Categ-2 will be done between March 2001 through mid-May 2001(2 1/2 months for Categ-1 and Categ-2 to get their FP notices)
4. In April 2001, Categ-1 will start receiving approvals.
5. In May 2001, Categ-2 will start receiving approvals.
6. Let\'s say approvals for Categ-1 and Categ-2 will be done by end of June 2001. (leaving pending RFE\'s)
7. Categ-3(retrogressed PD, still less number of cases than Categ-2) which have already done their FP\'s earlier will see their approvals in July-Aug 2001(leaving pending RFE\'s).

Of course, these are just estimates, and we will see a faster time if INS continues its pace, or slower times when INS revisits older cases in Aug-Dec 99, with PD current. Just my thoughts... Any comments??

aGCSeeker

 

[kanti]

No Title

It’s almost month to month movement roughly.

I am hopping for such a movement, (It’s almost same as your estimation)

Feb 2001: Oct – Nov
March: Nov – Dec
April: Dec –Jan
May – Jan –Feb -- 2000
June – Feb –March
July – March-April
Aug – April – May
Sep – May – June
Oct – June – July
Nov – July – Aug
Dec – Aug – Sep

 

[aGCseeker]

No Title

Kanti,
Thanks for your guesstimate...
I think the movements will be faster than month-to-month, especially after March 00 cases are approved, because:
1. the FP for post Mar 00 is already done for most candidates
2. the priority dates retrogressed and infact moved very slowly thereafter until recently, so there will be very few cases compared to PD current.
Anyways only time will tell...

aGCSeeker

 

[Vignesh Reddy]

No Title

Thanks guys for your painstaking analysis. These analysis would mentally prepare us to expect something in the months specified. Off course anyday an earlier approval than anticipated is a gift in disguise. Keep up the good work and good luck to this "00" club.