The attached spread sheet contains data from the "recent approvals" and "processing statistics" at NSC from immigrationwatch.com.
Just a few observations of the data:
1. 140 processing activity is spread across a wide filing date range. Without any further information regarding 140 sub-categories, it seems NSC is processing several months in a batch.
2. October 2003 ~ May 2004 SEEMs to be where NSC concentrated their processing capacity in the last month.
3. The processing peak will probably move forward once October pending percentage is around 10%. This is based on the observation that 10% seems to be a historic threshold at which NSC starts moving forward (at least from immigrationwatch.com data).
4. The most striking observation, though, is the fact that NSC processed not even 100 cases (72 approvals, RFEs, denials, etc.) in the 31 days between 1/14/2005 and 2/14/2005. Considering well over 1000 cases are filed at NSC each month, it takes NSC more than 10 month to process the applications filed in one months. If the immigrationwatch.com data is accurate, then the backlog is not being reduced, but increasing at an astonishing rate.
Also, at this rate, NSC will not be able to move their processing date for at least another year (based on the 10% threshold theory).
Personally, I tend to believe the immigration.com data is only a very sparse sample and far from being complete or accurate. One other observation seems to support my belief: the other three centers are also approving cases at a rate much lower than the filing rate at these centers. Based on the immigration.com data, the ratio between monthly approvals (last month) and average monthly application filings (2004) is, respectively:
California: 1 : 15.4
Nebraska: 1 : 14.7
Texas: 1 : 7.37
Vermont: 1 : 12.20
Just by looking at this data, TSC has by far been out-performing the other three centers, which are pretty much on par with each other.
Just a few observations of the data:
1. 140 processing activity is spread across a wide filing date range. Without any further information regarding 140 sub-categories, it seems NSC is processing several months in a batch.
2. October 2003 ~ May 2004 SEEMs to be where NSC concentrated their processing capacity in the last month.
3. The processing peak will probably move forward once October pending percentage is around 10%. This is based on the observation that 10% seems to be a historic threshold at which NSC starts moving forward (at least from immigrationwatch.com data).
4. The most striking observation, though, is the fact that NSC processed not even 100 cases (72 approvals, RFEs, denials, etc.) in the 31 days between 1/14/2005 and 2/14/2005. Considering well over 1000 cases are filed at NSC each month, it takes NSC more than 10 month to process the applications filed in one months. If the immigrationwatch.com data is accurate, then the backlog is not being reduced, but increasing at an astonishing rate.
Also, at this rate, NSC will not be able to move their processing date for at least another year (based on the 10% threshold theory).
Personally, I tend to believe the immigration.com data is only a very sparse sample and far from being complete or accurate. One other observation seems to support my belief: the other three centers are also approving cases at a rate much lower than the filing rate at these centers. Based on the immigration.com data, the ratio between monthly approvals (last month) and average monthly application filings (2004) is, respectively:
California: 1 : 15.4
Nebraska: 1 : 14.7
Texas: 1 : 7.37
Vermont: 1 : 12.20
Just by looking at this data, TSC has by far been out-performing the other three centers, which are pretty much on par with each other.
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