10 weeks to clear I-485\'s having ND in mar/apr!!!!

K

koixnahin

Registered Users (C)
Hi All,

I just did some rough calculations and the results scared me. Please share your thoughts. I took the average number of approvals per week for the past several weeks from CIBAs weekly update. That number is 12.

I then calculated the number of pending cases with ND in Mar/Apr. That
number for march is 54 pending out of 116 and for apr. is 68 out of 127.

That means there are a total of 122 pending cases with ND in Mar/Apr and
if the average of 12 approvals per week is about right, and we make the benign assumption that all the 12 approvals are for mar/apr and none are for earlier cases (nd in 2000) then it means it could be another 10 weeks before all the mar/apr cases are done ????? it could be worse if there are cases with earlier NDs (and there are a few)

What are the opinions of the gurus ?
 
I think only very recent statistics can be used ....

to predict current speed of I-485 processing. Any predictions at any time can only use statistics from a window of the previous 3 or so months. That is because there are so many changing factors that influence INS working over a long period of time. The present delays were created by the 245(i) situation and the mailroom contractor dispute in April. Those factors will retain little influence over speed of processing 3-6 months from now. I think when the backlog created by the 245(i) situation is cleared, things will go pretty fast. In my opinion, It may take a couple of months for the backlog to be cleared.
I will venture a prediction that folks who mailed their 485 applications in Nov, 2001 will see a shorter elapsed time than July Mailers who in turn should see a shorter elapsed time than April Mailers. Unless something else comes up that makes INS change their processing priorities. I just see us spinning our wheels for a while.
 
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