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Let put it this way, 16.7k is consider safe range but it can still go further if the density is lesser above 14-15k or DOS decided to put AP clearing rate less than 50%.

Yes, you are right. About 230 to 280 per 1k CN. 250 is weighted average.

~25%

Nepal already have 3.45k selectees scheduled for interview up to July and it could have another 250 for Aug. And this is only from CEAC and interviews conducting in Nepal. You have to add additional 200 from AOS and interviews from other embassies. So that add up to 3.8k up to Aug. In Sept it...

I am not from Nepal.

It depends on the available visa slots and demand, so it hard to say it which month will get more visa. One thing we can be sure is that DOS already divided the visa slots into 12 months to spread out the workload so every month for Asia it should have roughly 1k or so visa slots. If you look at...

My CN is 2014AS00013xxx.

With the last minute changes and mistakes, it really driving people crazy. Anyway, the positive side of this is that SA increased by 200. It's not only good for SA selectees, it also good for all regions because that show DOS is trying to schedule more interviews as possible. Looking at the...

I don't think it change in last few days. It needs various embassies to get that done. I think even the internal communication screw up in KCC. So, until the interview date is confirmed, nothing is final.

So funny, so many versions. Which is correct? KCC really screw thing up big time. Even official announced still need to wait until 15th of the month. What is this? KCC come on.

No really because Nepal will takes its own country limit for sure. And Nepal taking the max visas has been factoring into our estimation all this while. What I read from is that if Nepal really do not have special cut off, it mean Nepal start to max out as well. Meaning density is not that high...

Did you call them to confirm? How can KCC get it wrong again in the critical moment.

Have to call to be sure. Last time they missed out the special cut off too. If this is true, high CN has hope.

Nepalese have to call again. Last time they missed the cut off as well. Call to be sure.

Estimated Africa regional quota should be 24.5k with NACARA counted in.

6-10th July.

If Iran maxed out. It don't have much Cn waiting for interview so it doesn't matter anymore in our calculation. This is my simulation of what DOS will do when they plan for Sept cut off in 3 weeks time and I am taking 50% of AP to Issued. The rest had explained in the post.

All data are extracted from CEAC and potential no show for Nepal is only 65 which is very low.

Yes, I understand that. What I am trying to say is that the interview will schedule using 50k target and NACARA will be used when it is over target. If we looked at dv13, we have 51k+ visa issued globally and Iran issued 3.7K+ visas so that mean Iran only takes 200+ from the 1k+ from NACARA and...

Is your CN in July cut off? Do you mind let me the your CN in hundreds? The reason is that your interview is on 1st of July and I would like to know whether your Cn is above 7425 and below 7600? Thanks.