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  1. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Look like they are facing the capacity problems. When they push everything to last moment, this will happen. Hope this is not an indication of slowing down the Asia progress in Sept. We are starting to see all kinds of bad news for Asia. :(
  2. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    No we don't have that data. Only DOS and KCC have it. But we have seen the pattern is pretty consistent for 11 months CEAC data, so I don't think the density will change much except there is maxed out country happening like Iran.
  3. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    As of today, is has 5593 visas issued for Asia and plus 5% (AOS and margin of error) = 5873. If we take the round figure 5900 minus the regional quota 9.4k we should have 3500 for remaining 3 months. Based on June issue rate is about 1.2k, so if July to Sept following the same rate, we should...
  4. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    4th Weekly Update # of Issued as of 27th June: 5283 + 310 = 5593 selectees Nepal: 2450 + 75 + 23 = 2548 Iran: 1589 + 38 + 129 = 1756 Rest of Asia: 1244 + 25 + 20 = 1289 4th week of June (from 22nd June to 27th June changes) AP changed to Issued - 78 cases/172 selectees AP changed to Ready (2nd...
  5. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    This is what I believe will happen. Nepal already have roughly 3.8k ( includes AOS + interviews outside of KDU). Based on the statistic so far, Nepal has success rate of 92%, so with 3.8k it is good enough to issue the target of 3.5k. If this is how DOS see it, it might put the limit at 9500 for...
  6. Kayend

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    If Nepal stay on 9500, it mean it will have additional 200 or so for Rest of Asia and it might push additional 1k CN for Rest of Asia. But the message might include Sept visa slots for Nepal so at this moment we cannot say Nepal will stop at 9500. It might still go up to 10.5k for Nepal. Anyway...
  7. Kayend

    September VB - DV14 Last Chapter

    I always believe they target 50k and 3.5k country limit but if the buffer overrun they will use the remaining NACARA quota. Just like dv13, it issued additional 1.5k visas and that definitely come from NACARA. Remember in DV13, Iran only take 200+ from the 1.5k visas, so other countries also get...
  8. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    This is how I read it, based on the notice from Nepal US Embassy website, it mean they have enough selectees for Nepal. Remember, by Aug Nepal already have 3.7k selectees exclude AOS and interviews outside of KDU. If 3500 is a firm limit and with 92% success rate, very likely Nepal will stay at...
  9. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Region wise Asia is still under issue so far. Expected to be in the range of 5.5k to 5.8k issued with 5% AOS. So, we should have Sept interview if your CN get current for Sept. Nepal will get his 3500 country limit anyway and this has been predicted all this while so it will not impact the Sept...
  10. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    I have checked others Asian US Embassy websites and I didn't see this notice except Nepal, so it looks like Nepal is hitting the country limit very soon.
  11. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    As requested by some folks here. I get the latest data again for Aug. Nepal: 190 selectees for Aug. PHP increased a little from yesterday. Strangely, SAA seems to be the embassy that has started their interviews in June for Aug selectees. Details...
  12. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Yes, if NACARA is in then it is a bonus. I always believe DOS will use the NACARA quota as a buffer the cushion the unexpected so that it will not need to cancel any interviews in Sept. Let hope they are doing the right thing at the end of DV14. Hi DOS, KCC and USCIS, no more mistakes guys, no...
  13. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    My predictions is targeting 9.4k visas and if it turn out to be more then it will have higher CN than 15k CN. My predictions are always a conservative one. I certainly hope it can shoot up to 20k CN. Not all embassies had updated the data yet as of yesterday and Rayme just checked today that KDU...
  14. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Getting interview is one thing and getting visa is another thing. What we don't want is getting the interview cancel days before the interview. So, even we get current the nightmare is not over yet. I will keep monitoring CEAC data and making sure Asia not hitting the target 9.4k by mid Sept. If...
  15. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Rayme, targeting 3850 is risky because last year Iran hit the limit at 3.7k. Anyway, even with 3500 target, up to 10k for Nepal is safe. Good luck to us all. 2 more weeks to go!!!
  16. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    If this is the case then it is a good news to all Asian selectees waiting for their interviews scheduled because if Nepal only have 188 selectees in Aug that also mean overall Asian interviews scheduled up to Aug is around 11.5k. 10,013 (Up to July) 1,000 (August since Nepal only have 188) 500...
  17. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Maxed out and exhausted are different things. Maxed out mean all interviews has been scheduled, therefore created holes in higher CN. Exhausted mean no more visa for selectees but I think Nepal still have around 10% more visa slots yet to be allocated.
  18. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Most likely, Nepal will still have 500-1000 CN increase. Without KDU data for Aug, I am just doing a wild guess.
  19. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Yes, if density is lesser above 12700 then it will go above 12,700 but so far it is still ~25% density for Rest of Asia (at least up to 12,700 I still seeing this pattern)
  20. Kayend

    Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

    Based on the data so far, we have most of the CEAC data for Aug. Expected Nepal to get 300 and 250 more for others embassies still missing in CEAC, so it is around 1.2k selectees for Aug which is what I have predicted. Hence, I have good reason to believe Sept will have similar visa slots (1.2k...
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