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Oh sorry, Simon. Of course, you never said that. I was just making some speculations. Thanks for clarifying!

You've always been kind and respectful, and the stress is understandable, it's going to be a long week, hope it ends happily.

I thought of that too, and I'm dreading the possibility.

OK we posted at the same moment, LOL :p:p

If you pay close attention to what Anxiety said, he's pointing to the fact that KCC can give up on RoA without the quota being significantly impacted. Another thing is that KCC won't be blindingly betting on Iran (or RoA, or whatever..) Simon has clearly said they have better insight on where...

LOLOLOLOL :D Of course I wouldn't get mad ;) I hope with both get our visas, for real!!!

Oh yes, very possible of course. Although I remember reading that they're able to collect biometric info but the problem was they couldn't relay them to the central database or something.

Last month's interviews were all on the 1st and the 2nd before the issues started and they are still not issued til now (the opposite, yesterday more cases were showing AP), and I knew right away that they were on real AP because the principal applicant was AP and the derivatives "Ready" But you...

Thanks for your reply and by the way I miss our discussions and with the other guys as well :) :) Regarding this AP thing, it is really frustrating and unfair, my embassy has been issuing visas smoothly, but suddenly starting from last month, all cases (except one) are being placed automatically...

I understand. But still too many variables, we'll find out in a few days. Honestly, whatever the outcome, I made my peace with it. Even if I became current, a lovely CO in my embassy has been putting all cases automatically on AP, suddenly starting from last month, so my chances couldn't be any...

Very logical thinking. So, to make it short for people who want a nice sweet summary of your analysis: you are predicting 1900 visas for ROA, corresponding a final CN of around 11-12k. Did I get you right? Plus I very much agree with the bit in bold.

A winner from my country who's been on AP for a couple of weeks, his status went today to "Issued" and back again to "AP". What could be happening?

Kinda ironic how some people worry about the silliest things forgetting that thousands others (myself included) are worried about ever becoming current and might miss out because of their high CN..

I understand, my bad. I specifically meant the last VB (7650) being too low, but yeah, as you said KCC know what they're doing.

Yeah, I've always wondered about that. If KCC KNOWS how fast Iran AP are clearing, and already have a number of visas for Iran in mind, then they are no longer GUESSING and they are deliberately adjusting the VB pace. If that is truly the case, then it sounds very ominous for high ROA CNs...

Hi @Britsimon , is it normal that a friend's case is still showing (In transit) and not (Ready) since your latest extract? Obviously, he's current in July. Thanks!

I'm sorry you feel that way :( What is your CN?

I see. Thank you so much sir. We appreciate all the hard work! :)

Dear Roger, I would like to ask you a question if you don't mind. I know that you presented very accurate numbers for last year's quotas, so my question is there any indication of a decreased quota for Asia this year? The disappointing VB progress is making me wonder, and me and a bunch of high...

Oh, youre welcome, as I said just some random ideas that popped into my head. And to all memebrs, I don't want you to lose hope because of what I said, I wish that I'm wrong and that we'll see a HUGE jump for AS next month.