Search results

Upon a closer look at your statement "if Nepal max out, early 8000 there will be 520 visas goes to ROA" , I have another question/doubt. If Nepal maxes out early (or late), meaning they have taken 3500 visa (in reality more or less 33xx-32xx visas), there will not 520 visa going to ROA...

Right, but you use the same 65% response rate after Nepal maxes out in your calculation, correct? I am wondering if the response rate will be lower than 65% after Nepal maxes out. Therefore a revised calculation after.

Idea Mani, thanks for the summary and the note on ROA. I can't help but wonder if the 65% response rate would be reduced once Nepal has max out. We know Nepalese is keen on returning their DS260, showing up on interview compared to ROA and Iran.They also represent more than 1/3 of cases before...

In addition to 55k visa Susie mentioned, they can go over the the 3500 visa limit on 50k alone. For that to happen, (3) of Sec. 202. [8 U.S.C. 1152] needs to apply (see below)

Am not from Sri Lanka, but from ROA with about the same number. If 11xxx to 12xxx is current in Sept, are you saying the big jump happens in Sept instead of Aug? Or 11xxx to 12xxx is the final movement like 13350 last year?

I have no doubt you will get an interview. However, whether you will be put on AP and more importantly when you will clear AP is the question.

The slow VB for Asia is due to the dense CN for Nepal, meaning they need smaller increment to achieve the same number of visa. In fact issuance for Nepal is ahead of last year by quite a bit. The question now becomes both ROA and Iran are behind compared to last year, Iran will exhaust most of...

Well said Susie,ranting and raving won't change the outcome. Focusing on what matters may, whatever that is for everyone of us. We can't change that CN number, can we? Everyone can have a different opinion and that's not the problem here. However, it might be a problem if we just state our...

You are very polite sir and of course I am not going to force you for a prediction. Regarding following the region closely, well I certainly am not too. All I can say is that I am a student of that for my own good, and hopefully in the process be of service to other. The truth is, I enjoying...

What is diversity? each country has the same number, say 500 each? Or by proportion of their population of each country? Or by proportion we need to get to the same proportion in US? Even if it's the last one, you can't force people to apply , can you? Regarding you are sure nepal has hit the...

I know who you are referring to and he is talking about 2014, no guarantee 2015 is the same right? Even if it is for each 1000 Iran and nepal get 80% and ROA get the remaining 20%, that's a full year view, right, when you look 1-1000, it might be different than 1500-2499, right? That expert...

ok, and where do you get the 40,40,20? If you look at the 1st 2000 cases, it's like 55,40,26, have you looked at that? Now, regarding what you said about not spread evenly, let's think of the following. If you take my 1000 cases example, let's say they are 1000 balls and we put them in a bag...

Hi Martin, I've been enjoying your post and how you provide depth and insight you've provided. Mind sharing your thought on cut-off and VB progression for Asia?

I have to agree with Martin, siliconeslinger. I too wished to have a number below 10K but it didn't happen and what can we do about it? Nothing. What are you going to do about it? You can make the best out of it or you can feel negative, the choice is yours to make, that you can control...

yes and your optimism is not unfounded. Call me connecting the dots or whatever , Iran is in the middle of a talk with US and others countries about their nuclear program, you think the government will be cooperative all of a sudden? Even if they do, on personal clearance matters? thats hard to...

Wow, Beyonce + Ducati + Cool IT job in California........Hm........FSW, we need to join this camp ;)

Let me start off by saying this is NOT to cause panic or stress, but a simple what if. Like I said, hope is not a strategy, so please take this with a grain of salt. Ok, so how about both Iran and Nepal will max out, 8500-(3500*2) = 1500 for ROA, Simon, I don't think exception (3) will apply...

Yeah, I remember reading your journey last June if I remember correctly and I vaguely remember a FO in California in specific that you were having challenge with. Back then, I hardly know anything about case number let alone AOS and I am not going to pretend I know anything about AOS now. H1B...

:(, what can you do but hope and prepare. Now, I don't think hope is a strategy, being prepared (or over prepared) is, at least to me.

Agreed, I was making a point about with FSW about worrying there. At the end we only care about visa issued for us, and there could be a million ways how this won't happen (Not curret, AP not cleared.....) I am sure we are awared worrying is part of the deal given you are selected. Having a...