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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Based on 2 observation ROA response rate is lower than last year KCC sent a reminder out to winners around Jan 2015, which means those cases would be documentary ready for scheduled interview This would of course impact any prediction. So I am not saying this will happen, but rather of...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    If I remember corrently, there are around 60 KDU cases being put on AP and around 12 issued as of yesterday. Should we assume they are those who missed the interview during the earthquake week, all their civil doc should be ready way before. In other words, their AP are not due to missing doc...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    exactly as you said, May and June will yield much less visa. Some will come back in July or beyond, some might not. The fact remains there are 5 months left in the year for DV, if Nepal is set to take less visa due to the disaster, where and how would they fill the quota? As Idea Mani has...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    I am in the 104xx range but I doubt it matters. Judging from last year and the pace of this year, 3-4K CN range jump can happen in Aug. We might be interview in the same month.
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    I think the VB cutoff might be higher than what Simon has predicted (66xx-67xx). To be fair, when he made the prediction, the Nepal earthquake has not taken place. Due to the earthquake, I think they might put a higher cut off to compensate for those who cannot proceed. It is a very sad event...
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    Earthquake in Nepal

    They must have send in additional consular staff. Existing staff was handling identity verification, contacting family and emergency passport for USC. When additional staff arrive, they can get back to visa interviews. I agree with Martin, it's not so much the operation of interviewing...
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    Earthquake in Nepal

    Nepal will resume interview on May 5 Here's the message: Normal visa operations, which were suspended following the April 25 earthquake in Nepal, will resume on Tuesday, May 5, 2015. For questions regarding non-immigrant visas, immigrant visas (IV), or diversity visas (DV), please contact...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    There are couples files in the forum from last year. I just download those and played around. As a reminder, we cannot use the final 9-30-2014 file as some cases would have cleared AP where the CN was current before.And I don't recall having in transit status in the files I can get my hands on.
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    Visa Bulletin For May 2015

    I might go further to speculate 13xxx is somewhat risky and beyond 15xxxx, it's pretty much hopeless. My own quote illustrate how I arrive at those numbers, hope this helps.
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    Visa Bulletin For May 2015

    Indeed 76xx from Iran will most likely in Aug. AP falls in 2 buckets IMO, 1) you missed some document or minor checks with other post or 2) security/background checks. If you got 2) that might be a bit worrying while 1) is a matter of days or weeks.However, there's another catch. If your...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Got it Simon,that's exactly what I want to clarify with you and thank you for that. I am sure you know I am asking this for my own knowledge and potentially for anyone out there who shares any doubt with me.
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Here's what bothers me a bit. In 2014 we have 673 and 643 AS cases seen in July and Aug respectively. Not counting late submissions for number already current. Let's say we are looking at 750-800 max, shall we? For 2015, we know Nepal(KDU interviews) are ahead of last year, so KCC is pacing...
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    Earthquake in Nepal

    I really hope they can recover soon. As much as I want my own DV case to go through, it's the life of another human we are talking about here. Whatever the interest we have between nations and ethnicity, I just can't imagine anything getting in the way of human life.
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    DV 2015 Winners From Nepal

    Guys, I am very sorry to hear about the earthquake and hope that all of you escape in time. Best wishes for you...
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    Visa Bulletin For May 2015

    Simon, I know you are in PST. Just want to let you know CEAC has been updated to include 5275-5950 cases to show "in transit". Nepal had a 7.9 magnitude earthquake which Martin9 alerted us on another thread.
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    Earthquake in Nepal

    Wow.....I feel bad for Nepalese, BBC is reporting more than 100 dead 45 min ago. No matter what happens, I hope they will recover soon. In regards to DV, wouldn't it be possible to move Nepal interviews to neighboring countries if necessary? Yemen is in a similar situation should the post be...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Simon, just so I understand. You are also in agreement that ROA will have a lower than 65% response rate(since Nepal would have maxed out and Iran exhausting all cases) beyond 86xx-88xx, correct? The reasoning behind 86xx-88xx is 1). Almost all Iranian cases are below this CN range 2). Nepal...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Eh Huh, now I see what you are saying. Because Nepal will max out sooner than 9100 (I think this is where they run out of most cases), they will not take anymore visa beyond 7xxx or very low 8xxx. In your chart, you didn't not show that for the sake of calculation. In other words, by the end of...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Guys, I hope you don't mind me joining in the Sri Lanka thread. Like I said, I am not from Sri Lanka but from ROA. We need a dedicated Asia specific thread and more people like you for a healthy and active discussion.
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    I don't know for sure, but Nepal seems to be very keen to respond compared to the rest (both Iran and ROA), hence my question. Thanks for sharing your thought Idea Mani, really appreciate it.
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