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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Right, of course they can collect. If you have a working fingerprint scanner and a camera, you can for sure collect. It is after the collection the problem occurs. They must be making security check (think confirming the person in front of the CO is indeed the person who register about 1-2 yr...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Some speculation about the CCD pops in my head few days ago, consider the following statement found in the DoS official site: "We are still experiencing problems with some online immigrant visa application forms. We hope to have a fix in place for this by early next week." "As posts have been...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    The post and blog I can understand fully and appreciate. The calculation is well done as well. The message ringing in my head has been "depends on Iranian AP and wait and see" Rather than disagreeing, I would probably add/ask what's a reasonable number of Iranian clearing AP? This is what AS...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Last month could be the global CCD problem? Also, CEAC data shows interviewing post, we don't know the chargeability of those put on AP. You might be scaring yourself ;) At this point, we can do things in our control (get all civil documents ready). Like most others, we've waited more than a...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    I am in 10.4-10.5 k range. It certainly feels like RoA is substitute on the sitting bench, we fill whatever the main players can't fill the positions.
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Couldn't agree more Euro and by no means or intention I am pressing Simon to make a prediction. Heck, I have waited and worked on this for over a year, 2 more weeks is just a blink of eye. At the end of the day, I see both sides of the argument. It really comes down to "to each their own".
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Real life models are always full of variables and usually they interact with each others too. Regarding AP, I am very sorry about the situation in your country (FSW too). I wonder if this AP process is affecting other countries too. Is it possible we are seeing this more from AP just because we...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    For sure Euro. Individual nervousness and anxiety runs through my head everyday, in case you haven't notice my screen name. Personal emotion aside, I have been trying to counter my bias and from others. Namely survival bias from those who made it through and confirmation bias from my own...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Let me say this first, everyone's effort in this forum (including yours, significantly, I must add) benefited me in this process. For that I thank you, all of you. Thanks for the kind words about I am logically discussing this. For sure it is a product of this forum and other forums, your blog...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Just to be clear, 7950 is the total issued for consular processing in my calculation, NOT final VB cut off. All other regions have a good CN increase in August, CN7650 is just odd. It goes against everything we've believed in, including the pace in DV history. And for that.. I completely...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    It's published that there were 8500 issued to Asia in DV2014. My message above is calculated up to 8000, so what happened to the remaining 500? will it go to AP or call for a higher CN increase? This may be upsetting to some. In the end, KCC/VO is looking at a rate and target, which none of...
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    DV-2015 winners from Asia with CN 10,000+

    Hello guys and gals with 7650 and higher, it will be a nervous wait and stressful 2 weeks until the final VB arrives! I myself am on the same boat, and it feels like the yacht is going to sail away with our hopes and dreams... During the last 3 weeks, I kept looking at the CEAC data (thanks to...
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    Last VB - The Final Countdown

    Thank you EURO2014 and guestgulkan for your input! Looking at the past VB progression, your 'prediction' is as good as anybody's guess. But don't you think that there is a minimum quota that KCC/VO is expecting by the end of this fiscal year? Personally I do not watch other regions as closely as...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Don't want one, do I have choice? LOL
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    You are correct, thanks for pointing that out.
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    http://www.uscis.gov/iframe/ilink/docView/SLB/HTML/SLB/act.html Sec. 202. [8 U.S.C. 1152] (a) Per Country Level. - (B) 1/ Nothing in this paragraph shall be construed to limit the authority of the Secretary of State to determine the procedures for the processing of immigrant visa applications...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Simon, there's not an ounce of hate to your(any) answer. On the contrary, I am grateful for all the answer from you and all others. I fully understand any analysis, theory or discussion will not change the outcome. It is considered as fixed but unknown.It is about time for me to take a deep...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Me too, and after going through an emotional couple of days, I just want to know what's going on. It seems every time I think theres a better jump around the corner, it wasn't there when I looked around it. Before I ask the following like a broken record, just to point out the hinges on Iran...
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Thank you for sharing Simon
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    DV2015 Winners from Sri Lanka

    Simon, what's the temp on the range now? (i.e.What do you think Iran will get at the end if you were yo pick 1 number?) Depends on the temp, the goose might be cooked later rather than sooner.
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