Haven't been looking as closely as other people at EU, but since no one else replied - the simple explanation seems to be that so far the visa issuance rate is simply higher than in previous years, implying that they believe that the current rate in which they were going was to fast. since density in EU remains constant from the previous increment onward, it seems like a reasonable estimate that the next increment will only be slightly higher (as they deal less with previous cases and have a better appreciation of the data so can be less cautious). In the end, I think it's fair to estimate that the final cutoff will be around 25-26K, although, as I wrote above, without knowing such basic things as the response rate (which we will only know in retrospect) this is nothing more than guesswork.
Sorry, I've been reading this forum and Britsimon's blog for too long... ROA is short for "Rest Of Asia", meaning all the countries in the Asia region except Nepal and Iran, which are capped at around 7100.
Server had a hiccup. Everything should be working now. There's an usually high traffic. I guess it may be related to an announcement that's going to be made in a few hours
What Britsimon said. Also, there really are so many unknown variables at this point it seems impossible to guess, it's like trying to guess how long it will take a train to get from point A to point B, without knowing the exact distance between them or exactly how fast it is going. The only solid piece of information seems to be the fact that they have lowered the pace, which indicates that they think that the previous pace was too fast (or, as said, any other reasoning that is based on all the information we lack).
