Eb2 dates

tusharvk

Registered Users (C)
Curiously EB2 IN\CHI is close to current again. The last time this was in FY05. Retrogression kicked in FY06 (October 05 is the first VB in the recent history when the dates jumped to late 90's). Here is how the dates moved since (focusing on IN alone)
Oct'05: 99
Feb'06:01
July'06:03
Sep'06:U
Oct'06:02
Feb'07:03
July'07:C
Sep'07:U
Oct'07:04
Feb'08:U
July'08:04
Sep'08:06
Variety of reasons were proposed for the severe retrogression observed in FY 06 & (majority of) 07. Number one being that people from EB3 upgrading to EB2. FY 08 has seen significant movement in the EB2 dates for IN (a jump of 4 years) and the dates have come a full circle to almost current. This has been true despite of the VB fiasco of July'07 when the flood of applicants must have been from EB2485 (if one were to believe the "upgrading theory").
However, the dates have continued to move in the last quarter of FY'08. Is this the trend that we are going to observe in FY09 or will the dates jump back to late 90's again and then become close to current again in the last quarter of FY09?
 
There seems to be also a policy shift at the Department of State. They are no longer willing to let USCIS waste visa numbers and aggressively move up the priority dates to enable consulates to pick up the visa numbers USCIS would prefer to go waste. I doubt last year's aggressive move of making all numbers current will be repeated, but DOS is definitively putting pressure on USCIS to get its act together.
 
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