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DV 2014 - South America and The Caribbean winners

Audio

Member
Hi!!

Nice new Forum!!

I'll gather all the info about the bulletins we had here, if you want to bring some other info from there, you are welcome to do it!

Grab a chair and let's re construct our topic!

SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN
500
For October
600
For November
675 For December
700 For January
850 For February
985 For March
1140 For April
1325
For May
1425 For June
1550 For July

Welcome Back!
 

Audio

Member
becvarisi gave us this valuable information about other years cut off behavior:

And that post goes as follow:

HI all, Here are the visa numbers from the past years for South America
Note that ALWAYS it became current.
Note that this year is moving faster than the previous five.

2006___2007___2008___2009___2010___2011___2012___2 013___2014____Month
135____225____400____375____450____450____400____4 50____500____October
275____350____700____550____575____675____550____5 00____600____November
400____525____900____750____725____675____600____7 00____675____December
550____700___1075____790____925____900____675____7 50____700____January
700____825___1175____800____950____900____775____7 75____850____February
820___1010___1350____850____985___1025____925____9 00____985____March
975___1240___1425____900___1000___1075___1000____1075___1140____April
1175__1450___1550____1000___1200___1150___1150____1200___1325____May
1375__1750___1700____1100___1300___1300____C_____1300___1425____June
1610__2500____C______C____1500___1400__________1500___1550____July
1900____C__________________C_____C_____________C____________August
C_____________________________________________ _____________September
 

Britsimon

Super Moderator
becvarisi gave us this valuable information about other years cut off behavior:

And that post goes as follow:

HI all, Here are the visa numbers from the past years for South America
Note that ALWAYS it became current.
Note that this year is moving faster than the previous five.

2006___2007___2008___2009___2010___2011___2012___2 013___2014____Month
135____225____400____375____450____450____400____4 50____500____October
275____350____700____550____575____675____550____5 00____600____November
400____525____900____750____725____675____600____7 00____675____December
550____700___1075____790____925____900____675____7 50____700____January
700____825___1175____800____950____900____775____7 75____850____February
820___1010___1350____850____985___1025____925____9 00____985____March
975___1240___1425____900___1000___1075___1000____1075___1140____April
1175__1450___1550____1000___1200___1150___1150____1200___1325____May
1375__1750___1700____1100___1300___1300____C_____1300___1425____June
1610__2500____C______C____1500___1400__________1500___1550____July
1900____C__________________C_____C_____________C____________August
C_____________________________________________ _____________September
Audio - welcome. Is that table of data available in a spreadsheet?
 

Audio

Member
So handy as usual!!! ;) Thank you!!!

Now that you saw that.... do you think we are gonna be current this year?
 

Audio

Member
Well tell your head: "think about 2150 so we can meet her!" hahahaha is that a good incentive for your head?
 

Britsimon

Super Moderator
Well tell your head: "think about 2150 so we can meet her!" hahahaha is that a good incentive for your head?

LOL - yes indeed. That is my new minimum target for SA - if we are going to have a welcome to the US party (as Veronice wants to arrange) - we will need plenty of Latinas!
 

veronice

Active Member
OK - thanks Audio.

I have rekeyed that into a spreadsheet and added the visas issued number. Please let me know if you think I mistyped anything.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EBcgB74X33kzhm-JBVZ80vLPKxx9VxjB2pEnWfdtSak/edit?usp=sharing
I'm working as hard as I can to put together the number of selectees those same years... to find out if we can get the quota for SA or at least an estimate that lets us calculate the real odds for DV2014. Does that makes sense?
 

veronice

Active Member
Houston: we have a problem. I can't seem to find the number of selectees before 2011 :( and that data is soooooo important!!!)
 

Britsimon

Super Moderator
Houston: we have a problem. I can't seem to find the number of selectees before 2011 :( and that data is soooooo important!!!)

Vero, I see what you are trying to do - I tried that a few month back. However I'm not sure there correlation between how many selectees there are and how many get visas. Basically I reasoned that the quota could be predicted based on the selectee split. So - a region that got 40% of the selectees should get 40% of the global quota. THe trouble is - it doesn't seem to actually happen that way. Different response and success rates mean 1000 selectees in SA is not going to get the same number of visas as 1000 selectees in AF for example. Then there is the bloody annoying KCC who are not behaving like they are splitting up the 4620 selectees into 12 to drive the VBs. There are too many factors at work here.
 

veronice

Active Member
Vero, I see what you are trying to do - I tried that a few month back. However I'm not sure there correlation between how many selectees there are and how many get visas. Basically I reasoned that the quota could be predicted based on the selectee split. So - a region that got 40% of the selectees should get 40% of the global quota. THe trouble is - it doesn't seem to actually happen that way. Different response and success rates mean 1000 selectees in SA is not going to get the same number of visas as 1000 selectees in AF for example. Then there is the bloody annoying KCC who are not behaving like they are splitting up the 4620 selectees into 12 to drive the VBs. There are too many factors at work here.

Hahahahaha You are so right! Bloody KCC!!!

Well, I got the data, I have only 2 years left so I'm getting it anyway....

What I think about SA (and I don't want to "sound" pathetic) is that the region never meets its quota. I mean, the quota with or without the nacara involved. There are always some visas left in the whole process and I think some of them are from this region and maybe that's why for this year they oversubscribed that much. But apart from the more-than-duplicated selection for DV-2014, we can see that they kept the high jump in selection for 2015. That way, from 2206 selectees in 2013, we jumped to 4620 and then down to 3999...

That's what keeps me hoping at least, so it Works for me. Now for the next VB please somebody give me a call if it's worth.

Coming with the numbers in a moment
 

Britsimon

Super Moderator
Hahahahaha You are so right! Bloody KCC!!!

Well, I got the data, I have only 2 years left so I'm getting it anyway....

What I think about SA (and I don't want to "sound" pathetic) is that the region never meets its quota. I mean, the quota with or without the nacara involved. There are always some visas left in the whole process and I think some of them are from this region and maybe that's why for this year they oversubscribed that much. But apart from the more-than-duplicated selection for DV-2014, we can see that they kept the high jump in selection for 2015. That way, from 2206 selectees in 2013, we jumped to 4620 and then down to 3999...

That's what keeps me hoping at least, so it Works for me. Now for the next VB please somebody give me a call if it's worth.

Coming with the numbers in a moment

I love your positivity!
 

Britsimon

Super Moderator

That works.

It is actually interesting to see the percentage of selectees to visas issued. Ignoring 2012 though it is between 40 and 88 percent - so that is all over the place and doesn't tell us much. It looks like interest weakened between 2007/2008 - perhaps the economic crash - that would tie in with what happened in EB temp visas. The H1 allocation was lasting for months up until the last couple of years - interest in moving to the USA seems to be rising....
 
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