Source: Murthy.com Bulletin
Retrogression Predictions
A senior level official from the U.S. Department of State (DOS), Mr. Charles Oppenheim, primarily responsible for retrogression and priority dates, shared his predictions of the movement of visa numbers and retrogression for the upcoming fiscal year. The DOS is responsible for tracking visa number usage and availability, and releasing the monthly Visa Bulletin that indicates visa number availability based on priority dates. Readers unfamiliar with retrogression should review our September 24, 2004 MurthyBulletin article, Priority Dates May Retrogress, and our December 10, 2004 NewsFlash, Employment Visa Numbers Retrogress!, both available on MurthyDotCom.
EB2 Retrogression Expected in FY2006
Mr. Oppenheim indicated that, based on currently available data, he believes the Employment-Based Second Preference (EB2) category for certain members of the professions holding advance degrees or persons of exceptional ability will not likely retrogress for the remainder of the current fiscal year. He does expect retrogression to occur in EB2 for nationals of mainland China and India starting sometime in fiscal year (FY) 2006 (October 1, 2005 through September 30, 2006). The predicted EB2 retrogression is not expected until the latter half of FY2006. The affected countries will likely only be India and mainland China, not the Philippines in the EB2 category.