The number of holes is about the same in dv-13 and dv-14How can you just use dv-2013 to predict dv-2014? We don't know how many case # issued for each region in dv-2014 at this point because the case # have holes in it and also number of the dependents for each principle applicant.
No, in dv-13 it is 10700For example, in dv-2013 in Asia region, the max case # is 12,800 (as you mentioned above)
Those 16k winners are primary entrants only, not including dependentsand there are 16k+ winners for Asia region in dv-2013.
Even without holes, the max case # should be 16,000 and not 12,800.
Dependents are not included into 16k. That is only primary winners.The reason I can think of why the max case number is 12,800 is because the dependent is also counted as selectee.
They are about the same for DV-7, dv-8, dv-9, dv-10, dv-11 and dv-13. Just exclude Bangladesh, they will be the same.If that is the case, we have no way to predict the outcome of dv-2014 without knowing how many case# issue. how many holes and how many dependent for each case #.
Results for max open number for DV-13 are ready. Prospects for the corridor for max number invited for interview in DV-14 are clear too.
AF 97,000 - 116,400. We have seen wins up to 116,xxx, they are within the corridor and have a chance.
AS 10,700 - 12,800. We have seen wins up to 26,xxx. Unfortunately, at least 51% of those winners will not be invited to the interview (above 12,800).
EU 32,000 - 38,500. We have seen wins up to 54,000. Unfortunately, at least 29% of those winners will not be invited to the interview (above 38,500).
NA 2 - 25. Difficult to predict because of high volatility.
OC 1,640 - 1,970. We have seen wins up to 2,9xx. Unfortunately, at least 32% of those winners will not be invited to the interview (above 1,970).
SA 1,300 - 1,580. We have seen wins up to 2,xxx. Unfortunately, at least 21% of those winners will not be invited to the interview (above 1,580).
These statements are incorrect.
Are you trying to say that next year not all numbers will become current but instead there will be a cut-off number for the regions you selected??
This has never happened in previous years.
All numbers became current by the end of the FY and I am pretty sure next year won't be an exception.
Only 15% were holes in DV-13, there is no purpose to assume something meaningless."No, in dv-13 it is 10700"
If dv-13 is 10700, and 16k+ selectee. Let take half of it are holes, it means only 5K selectee notify and there hidden 11k selectee? If they already hide selectee in dv-13, why they need to increase 20% selectee in dv-2014.
Not much difference for me between 2999 and 3000.OC is actually up to 3,000 this year not high 2k
Yes, wait and see, that is a good solution for the problem.While what you are saying is very disheartening for me personally ( low 2,000's Oceania) I guess we will have to wait and see.
Actually, incorrect. In August and September DV-11 Uzbekistan was Unavailable. And in July DV-11 it had a cutoff 28,200 below regional. I assume your term "recent" includes DV-11. I am wrong if it only referrs to DV-12 and DV-13This has never happened in previous years.
This is up to you. I really do not care.what would you suggest instead that everyone above the numbers you quoted just give up now???? Good lord at least show some compassion for others
Only 15% were holes in DV-13, there is no purpose to assume something meaningless.
They need to increase selectees because EU and SA regions were underfilled since DOS decided not to release hidden winners. Other regions might have had some low underfilling too.
More or less sure.15% were holes? Are you sure about it? If you check the CEAC web site, we roughly know there are definitely more than 15% of holes in dv-13. Just try from 0-100 case #, it has almost 50 number not found.
More or less sure.
CEAC website does not include a number of consulates (quite a lot though, including AOS cases), and it also does not include those who did not submit forms to KCC.
Only 15% were holes in DV-13, there is no purpose to assume something meaningless.
They need to increase selectees because EU and SA regions were underfilled since DOS decided not to release hidden winners. Other regions might have had some low underfilling too.
My data shows only 50% valid number.More or less sure.
CEAC website does not include a number of consulates (quite a lot though, including AOS cases), and it also does not include those who did not submit forms to KCC.